I don't know about you, but I'm attempting to blot out the sequester and the sociopaths in the GOP and Democratic Party who designed this little fiscal cherry bomb, and who are playing politics with the well-being of American workers and families.
To that end, here's a soulful tune, so soulful it feels like you've always been singin it:
Next, a groovy little 1983 diddy called "Cavern" by Liquid Liquid:
Finally, a 6 month old tune, of an electronica genre I don't know the name of, that I'm linking to in case nyoos accuses me of ignoring and hating new music:
Leave any and all thoughts below ...


Great article over at TNC
(#300835)Link
But at the same time, it is also instructive to remember that the war did happen, after all that.
Great image from 2008.
An Iraqi woman, in 2008, walks past a British soldier and military vehicle with a poster of a dollar bill inscribed, in Arabic: 'You can get some money, in exchange for some information.' Photograph: Essam al-Sudani/AFP/Getty Images
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
Talking about Mr Fleischer reminded me of this little gem (2002)
(#300912)Link
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
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parentMeanwhile
(#300921)"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
- reply
parentCalling Bird Dog
(#300837)As reported in the WPOST:
An escort who appeared on a video claiming that Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) paid her for sex has told Dominican authorities that she was instead paid to make up the claims and has never met or seen the senator, according to court documents and two people briefed on her claim.
In light of this article, I believe it's appropriate for Bird Dog to admit that he was not sufficiently skeptical of conservative media outlets and that his earlier claims about liberal bias in the media were likely inaccurate: major media should not have paid more attention to the Menendez story. If anything, the so-called liberal media were also insufficiently skeptical of hackish conservative sources, though not as credulous as BD.
The story originally appeared in The Daily Caller, Tucker Carlson's outfit. Remember when Carlson was on
Swords CrossedCrossfire and, like Josh Trevino, fashioned himself as a conservative intellectual interested in debate? That was the point of Tucker's bow tie, modeled after conservative intellectuals like George Will and Murray Rothbard. Tucker even had the rumpled hair of am ivy league researcher, a man of ideas.A salon piece a few months ago cataloged Tucker's "downward spiral" and claimed that "in many ways Tucker Carlson’s a better symbol of the pathetic state of what passes for conservative journalism than even Glenn Beck or the late Andrew Breitbart". The piece also seems to have its finger on the conservative zeitgeist that produced our own Trevino nonsense.
The intellectual, bow-tie wearing honest man of ideas and debate is no longer a viable business model for young conservatives, so instead we get transparently corrupt, smug, hacks (Tucker pictured at CPAC last month):
When the 1st source that is
(#300845)outing of a major figure starts with something like "as a concerned US citizen yada yada yada" that just makes it look someone was trying too hard to make up a claim or they were intentionally trying to make it look like it was made up.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentOr Not
(#300846)I guess all those Dominican hookers look alike to the Great White Serious MSM Reporter.
The universe may well have been created without a point--that doesn't imply that we can't give it one.
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parentDC hasn't even seen the affidavit yet
(#300847)and afaik, an unedited video hasn't been released
The Daily Caller's main Chinese Telephone retorts w/o seeing the affidavit seem to be:
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentThe business plan seems
(#300861)obvious. Let X be some reasonable charge for a night's work.
1. For $X, provide services to a Senator.
2. For $10X, agree to rat on Senator.
3. For $100X, agree to deny (1), and rat on person who paid $10X.
4. For $1000X, agree to reaffirm (1), deny (2), and rat on person who paid $100X.
5. For $10000X, agree to deny (1), reaffirm (2), deny (3), and rat on person who paid $1000X.
etc.
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parentSolving for X in five equations
(#300863)X = $20, same as in town.
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parentBest comment on tacitus.org ever.
(#300867)-
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
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parentDoubling down on Tucker Carlson?
(#300849)to be polite, that seems reckless.
I blame it all on the Internet
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parentWhy do you accept The Daily Caller over the WPost?
(#300851).
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parentWrong hooker and...
(#300936)The one who recanted was not the one was videotaped by the Daily Caller (link).
Nice speech, though. It had just just the right tenor of righteous anger and indignation.
Government is merely a servant – merely a temporary servant; it cannot be its prerogative to determine what is right and what is wrong, and decide who is a patriot and who isn’t. Its function is to obey orders, not originate them.
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parentWhy do you and MScott keep linking to The Daily Caller
(#300937)in support of The Daily Caller?
Such credulous media consumption should be reserved for childhood.
- reply
parentI read that
(#300938)they shopped this story to the teevee networks too, which turned them down. But that's simply proof of the vast lieberal media, plus the Illuminati and alien astronauts.
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parentWhine Regarding Squelching Of Self-Righteous Rant Is Noted nt
(#300939).
The universe may well have been created without a point--that doesn't imply that we can't give it one.
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parentEverything's a whine to you
(#300940)I was pointing out a fallacy. Deal with it.
... I'll give you 'rant' re: the first post, however!
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parentGetting together, reading the Last of the Mohicans?
(#300981)link
The DK claims it's not the same woman even w/o seeing the affidavit. Their evidence:
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
- reply
parentVolokh conspiracy, conservative hacks
(#300838)The conspirators at volokh.com heaped praise on Senatorial candidate Ted Cruz last year, including high profile contributors Orin Kerr and Eugene Volokh (the site's founder).
However, now that it has surfaced that Cruz said there were "twelve Communists" on the faculty of Harvard Law School who "who believed in the Communists overthrowing the United States government" they have remained studiously silent.
Guess what, guys. That means you're political hacks.
nah
(#300839)when these guys say "there's 12 communists at such and such" or "bob memendez has a hooker in his closet" it's like saying "throw your arms in teh air and party like ya just don't care!" -- the content is not meaningful, its just a chant, a signal, a tribal shout.
its served its purpose and doesn;t need to be re examined or disavowed any more than i really need to examine whether i truly care, before i go throwing mah hands up in the air.
“The single biggest problem in communication is the illusion that it has taken place.”
-George Bernard Shaw
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parentI was surprised, not one mention of Scalia's outburst
(#300840)you'd think a conservative having a free association rant about racial entitlements should be good for at least a mention.
I blame it all on the Internet
- reply
parentI don't expect them to comment on every legal current event
(#300842)But Orin Kerr is a Harvard law alumn, these conspirators are all law school faculty in similarly top-ranked programs as Harvard Law, and they had already made multiple posts on Ted Cruz.
For them to remain silent on the issue is eminently hackish. I don't expect them to start personally pimping for the Malaysian government or anything, but they're obviously part of the problem.
- reply
parentIt was only front page news
(#300843)it's not like there's an overabundance of legal issues to talk about. They'll do multiple post on some minor case that gets their attention (because libertarianism) but I think what Scalia said was a pretty big issue to ignore.
As for the Cruz thing, how anyone can call themself a libertarian and advocate for a reactionary like Cruz doesn't make much sense.
I blame it all on the Internet
- reply
parentI looked for them to comment on Scalia as well
(#300844)But I wouldn't call them hacks for ignoring the issue and posting on some minutiae related to their research articles instead.
They're hacks for papering over Cruz, however.
You don't publicly endorse a guy you went to law school with and then say nothing when he asserts that there were twelve commie faculty at your school intent on overthrowing the government. Unless you're part of the same pool of political hacks, that is.
Orin Kerr has done political work in the past, for example advising TX Senator Cornyn on Supreme Court nominations. It's a pretty easy guess why he's keeping his mouth shut.
The story with Eugene Volokh doesn't seem as straightforward since I'm not aware that he has his hat in the political ring to the same extent as Kerr. Maybe his students would be less likely to clerk for some conservative federal judges if he condemns outrageous Republican slander?
Whatever the story, they're disgracing themselves by their silence in the same sense you already highlighted with respect to redstate.
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parentResponse to Ezra Klein on economic optimism
(#300841)Ezra wrote about some reasons for economic optimism here:
1) Health-care costs are slowing, and not just because of the recession. If the cost controls being rolled out in Obamacare can hold the trend, much in the U.S. economy, from the budget deficit to wages, looks much brighter.
The budget deficit isn't a problem, if it is a problem, for economic growth for many yrs. into the future. Unfortunately, recent slowing health care costs haven't been correlated with higher wages for consumers. Klein doesn't give any reason to believe that will change.
2) Housing is turning around.
The question is whether housing's tailwinds are greater than austerity's headwinds. Ezra doesn't attempt to gauge the overall balance.
3) It’s possible that the worrying descent into genuine malgovernance in the past few years was caused by the extraordinary stresses the recession put on the political system.
Was this really written the same week the sequester went into effect? Also, gridlock has kept Obama and others from implementing austerity at a time when we now know would've probably sent the economy back into a recession, given the low growth that occurred and that the housing market hadn't yet turned around.
4) Corporate profits remain strong
This doesn't signal likely growth, as the entire recovery period has shown. Worse, some of these profits have come from reducing consumer's paychecks.
5) Neither Europe nor China appear to be tumbling off an economic cliff.
China was never headed for a cliff, and Europe's recession has been deepening.
6) [Some anecdotes about job-creating tech advances].
These are anecdotal.
7) Natural gas. Natural gas. Natural gas.
Is this the jobs boom spoken of in pro-fracking propaganda?
8) an “insourcing boom” ... we might be moving into a period when outsourcing is less attractive and our exports are more attractive.
Klein links to a December 2012 Atlantic article that focuses heavily on GE CEO Immelt's story about how GE's plant in "Appliance Park" will look to hire more American workers and how "Outsourcing, says Jeffrey Immelt, is quickly becoming “outdated as a business model for GE Appliances.”
In February 2013, GE laid off 500 workers at Appliance Park.
9) economic confidence is rebounding.
Some economists consider consumer confidence a lagging as opposed to leading indicator.
10) Add in that we are, after the last decade, understandably used to being unpleasantly surprised, and understandably reluctant to get our hopes up, and it becomes even likelier that we’re underestimating our economic potential.
The Fed and most forecasters have overestimated growth each of the past three years, in addition to under-estimating austerity's effects internationally.
Not only was this not very convincing by Ezra Klein, it wasn't particularly informed.
If you don't believe Ezra or me
(#300976)Maybe you might believe one of the guys that's been most consistently right about the economy these last half-dozen years.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
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parentI linked to that back when it was written
(#301002)I believe Bill McBride has an estimate that he's not sharing for why the housing tailwinds are greater than the austerity headwinds.
Ezra, on the other hand, shows with his post that he's not always in the class of people who can intelligently read economic reporting. Corporate profits are high? Please.
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parentJFTR I would bet on Bill McBride over myself
(#301007)on who's right about the economy. I've just been pointing out lately that I've never seen the grounds laid out for his kind of optimism.
That aside, I'd like to highlight one reason I believe that Ezra Klein is ignorant/overrated:
Invoking corporate profits to support economic optimism is a sign of ignorance since: (a) corporate profits have been sky high since 2010 despite anemic growth, (b) profits are partially being taken from wages given a weak labor market, (c) low wages don't help aggregate demand/give consumers money in an economy which is 70% domestic consumption.
In short, you have to be deeply ignorant of the economic slump to list corporate profits as 1 of only a few reasons to be optimistic about future growth. Bill McBride, who I've been reading for 5 yrs., has never said anything of the sort.
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parentCorporate profits
(#301012)Means higher stock valuations. Higher stock valuations lead people to consider themselves wealthier. The wealth effect leads to spending. So wrong.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
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parentAll else being equal
(#301013)it's also probably better than lower corp profit.
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parentBut the wealth effect has been very tiny the past several years
(#301016)I don't think saying so should be controversial.
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parentI agree, it shouldn't be controversial
(#301027)It should be taken as a given. I spend more when I think my net wealth is higher, and I don't think I'm alone.
A big part of the size of this contraction can be explained by its negative wealth effects... a house is usually the biggest part of a middle-income family's wealth. When people saw their net worth plummet, often into negative territory, of course they retrenched. Likewise, a big part of the 90s boom was the fact that people thought they were richer than they were because of the stock market bubble.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
- reply
parentOn fracking...
(#301028)Go ahead an make a case against it... on what it does for the water basin. On what methane escape does for global warming.
But when you say that natural gas doesn't create jobs, you are departing from the evidence-based community. Your link mentions Pennsylvania. Really, Pennsylvania? Is that the poster state for fracking? Might that not be North Dakota instead, the state with the lowest unemployment in the nation at 3.2%? That's just the direct jobs. By lowering energy costs for electricity production, a lot of capital is being freed for jobs creation indirectly.
Don't deny the undeniable. The new energy extraction technologies have created (and will create) a ton of jobs.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
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parentWhy isn't PA the poster state for fracking?
(#301031)Given that "more than 4,500 wells have been drilled there since 2007."
The study suggests that not many direct or indirect jobs have been created as a result.
You would prefer to focus on North Dakota, with its massive population of less than 700,000 -- about 8% of PA's Don't you think it's a better idea to use a larger sample size for your study?
And you provide zero analysis linking ND's low unemployment rate to natural gas drilling. It could be the main explanation, but a lot of tiny little states like the Dakotas, Nebraska, Wyoming, etc. never got hit very hard by the recession and have low unemployment.
It may be that these states never had a housing bubble burst b/c they suck and no one wants to buy houses and live there, and that's why they have low unemployment.
I'm part of the evidence-based community as you will witness if you produce superior evidence to the evidence I've linked. Meantime, I suggest nixing addressing me as some reflexive leftist who forms beliefs w/out evidence.
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parentI can't think of anyone on here who is a reflexive anything. nt
(#301033)-
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
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parentYeah Wags, that's my job
(#301036)Telling Catchy he is some reflexive leftist who forms beliefs w/out evidence is my J-O-B, savvy? Go find your own gig, maybe dump on an Eeyn thread.
In the medical community, death is known as Chuck Norris Syndrome.
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parentHonestly, you're just depressing me now
(#301037)Do you imagine that the wells are manned by robots? Oil rigs are still a very labor-intensive operation, and the North Dakota boom has been exhaustively documented. That's not even counting the effects of cheap energy on an economy. Why bother denying this?
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
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parentI think you're missing one of catchys points here Wags
(#301039)Suppose I have a small town where there are 90 people with jobs and 10 looking for them. So the unemployment rate is 10%. Then oil is discovered nearby and 100 get jobs (many of them moving in from someplace else) and there are only 5 people still looking for jobs. So now the unemployment rate is just 2.5%. Amazing right?
Next consider this happening near a city where there are 9000 people with jobs and 1000 people looking for them. Unemployment is once again at 10%. Oil is discovered and suddenly 9100 people have jobs and maybe 950 are looking (since there is a larger pool of local candidates not so many arrive from elsewhere). Now our unemployment rate is 9.4%. Not quite so impressive is it?
North Dakota has a tiny population so adding a certain number of jobs from resource extraction can have a much bigger impact than it would in a state with a large population. That's why North Dakota is a lousy example.
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parentI think you're missing the point from the link
(#301041)These economies are not isolated in glass. There has been a huge influx of workers from outside ND. The ND boom is relieving other state's unemployment too.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
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parentFracking is benefiting people all over the world, too
(#301060)link
Left-wingers = internationalists, catchy.
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
- reply
parentNorth Dakota is a horrible example
(#301032)I couldn't go back further than 1976, but ND has only gone over 6% unemployment twice since then - both times during Reagan's term. Their unemployment rate in the last 15 years shows that the national economy doesn't affect them. The latest economic crisis saw their unemployment go up - from ~3% to ~4%.
Very unrepresentative of any other state.
I blame it all on the Internet
- reply
parentComment below
(#301066)addresses this one too.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
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parentBank of American, JPMorgan et al "wrongfully foreclose"
(#300848)on a tiny number of 700+ families during the housing crisis.
What's it called when normal people use force or the threat of force to try and take permanent possession of property?
Good thing it's illegal for both of us to live under a bridge.
h/t FDL
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
news for Traveller
(#300850)Canon Tests the most Sensitive Sensor in the World
I blame it all on the Internet
TFOT is a Very Cool WebSite for All Kinds of Things, Thanks/nt
(#300852)Traveller
- reply
parentCome a Little Closer, Dear, I Can Barely See You All the Way....
(#300855)...over there!
My Trout for dinner, (a most easy whole fish to cook, which is why I make them, though I caution that a little Rosemary goes a very long way {a sprinkle of this spice and rocky sea salt in the cavity of fish's body with some sliced lemon, bake or grill after a light brushing of Olive Oil} and....a perfect dinner; even an alone guy like me can spectacularly make).
http://www.pbase.com/cichallenge/image/149067582
An then, of course, you get to make something interesting out of it after dinner photographically!
Best Wishes, Traveller
for darth and hankp
(#300857)you'll probably want to steer clear of this.
http://www.foodrepublic.com/2011/11/08/finally-whiskey-horrible-people
“The single biggest problem in communication is the illusion that it has taken place.”
-George Bernard Shaw
That piece was delightful.
(#300859)That piece was delightful. This vodka-whiskey is immoral, though.
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parentNext up: vodka flavored vodka
(#300860)to wash the taste of bubble gum, whipped cream and s'mores out of your mouth.
The link I always bring up when this kind of stuff gets discussed:
I blame it all on the Internet
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parentThat was hilarious! Hadn't
(#300862)That was hilarious! Hadn't seen that one and I thought I've seen all of their episodes. Too bad Dave Foley's real life seems parallel this bit.
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parentWell, I would have steered clear
(#300985)but y'know how that goes. Looks like another Zima.
In the medical community, death is known as Chuck Norris Syndrome.
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parentFirst George Bush and now Dick Cheney
(#300858)have taken to painting self portraits in their retirement.
LA - the world's first significant coal free city?
(#300869)Link.
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
I Doubt It
(#300918)I am sure there are large cities around the world that use no coal for power generation. Too lazy to look up, but there are countries where coal is essentially not used on the electric grid, because oil or gas (or both) are more readily available.
For example, does Caracas use any coal for power generation?
I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.
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parentIs Obama's 2nd term over for the left?
(#300894)Obama continues wasting his entire 2nd term, spending all of his re-election political capital on a deficit hawk Grand Bargain to cut spending and cut social insurance in exchange for less than 1/2 the amount in tax increases.
With Obama's poll #s coming down, with the sequester and debt ceiling ghosts from his 1st term deficit hawkery still haunting the country month after month into his second term, Obama doesn't appear capable of accomplishing anything positive before becoming a lame duck.
If he'd made an all-out, focused push on immigration reform after his re-election, he might've had a shot at it. We'll never know because a center-right Grand Bargain has been Obama's overriding domestic priority since 2010. What a waste.
He could stop Keystone XL
(#300917)Though I'm not holding my breath on that one either.
I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.
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parentSay, Say, Say
(#300920)But what will really cook your noodle later is, is what he's bargaining against. It's almost like he's going as far away as possible from what his supporters would want.
Bill O'Reilly vehemently pretending/actually being insanely ignorant on programs Obama is willing to cut, I almost half think Papa Bear et al are in on the game.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentGeeze, Everyone Knows How Anti-Gun I am, But 3D Printers...
(#300905)....are now capable of making assault weapons.
Sigh...technology may well best my most correct (and I am right in this) arguments.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-21639015
Traveller
When you need to get scared
(#300906)When a 3D printer can produce another 3D printer.
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parentafaik, at the moment
(#300919)3D printers produce weapons that break apart very quickly, a few shots and they crumble.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentCrucifixion for robbery in Saudi Arabia.
(#300913)http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/mar/05/saudi-seven-crucifixion-arme...
While they are everybody's allies, and have within their country the Kaaba and all that, maybe someone should mumble something?
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
And in related news, Prince Alwaleed is unhappy
(#300914)with his Forbes ranking.
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
- reply
parentMumble, mumble...Oil-Oil, Shocking, Mumble, Mumble, No Text
(#300916)Traveller
- reply
parent"people of the book"
(#300946)ain't it just special?
“The single biggest problem in communication is the illusion that it has taken place.”
-George Bernard Shaw
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parentRevolution.
(#300922)Link
Link
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
Student protests in Montreal over tuition hikes
(#300923)Just something happening that you don't hear much about:
Relevant Drone History
(#300924)Well, that's basically
(#300983)what Article 2, Section 2 of the Constitution is.
- reply
parent"basically" in your lexicon
(#301008)seems to mean "unarticulated in mine:
The President shall be Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy of the United States, and of the Militia of the several States, when called into the actual Service of the United States; he may require the Opinion, in writing, of the principal Officer in each of the executive Departments, upon any subject relating to the Duties of their respective Offices, and he shall have Power to Grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offenses against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment.
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parentCommander in Chief + AUMF =
(#301011)fiery death on members of al Qaeda.
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parentI'm pretty sure they had cannonballs back then
(#301035)no AUMF necessary, just a declaration of war. Which congress has been weaseling out of for the past several decades.
I blame it all on the Internet
- reply
parentYou're on the right track, just stay the course
(#300925)The Confidence Fairy is on her way
(#300928)But if, only if enough people have enough faith to keep giving offerings to the Shrine of Austerity.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentThis is actually good news for the US
(#300930)since it shows by graphic example exactly what we shouldn't do.
I blame it all on the Internet
- reply
parentNorth Korea threatens the pre-emptive use of nuclear missiles
(#300935)now, this, rather than sabre-rattling on Iran, seems a real threat. NK seems to be squeezed between the USA and China.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/mar/07/north-korea-threatens-nuclea...
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
NK has been making threats just like that regularly
(#300977)One day, NK's leaders might actually mean it, but NK routinely makes threats that SK will be covered in an ocean of fire.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentDifference Is That This Time They're Implicitly Threatening. . .
(#300979). . .China, too. Given China's long term population imbalance issues, they might well take the opportunity to kill two birds with one stone: "Hey--could you wait until we can move a few million dullards. . .er, heroes of the revolution over to where you're going to nuke? Thanks--and don't mind the five million soldiers armed with clubs standing on your border: they're just there to do groundskeeping."
As for us. . .emailing Dennis Rodman's new best friend a time-stamped digital photo of a Trident surfacing five hundred miles to the east of Pyongyang should either get the message across or prepare to get the job done if need be.
The universe may well have been created without a point--that doesn't imply that we can't give it one.
- reply
parent236k jobs this month, unemployment rate falls to 7.7%
(#301017)Happy Friday!
Felix Salmon drops a turd in the employment punchbowl
(#301034)The number of multiple jobholders rose by 340,000 this month, to 7.26 million — a rise larger than the headline rise in payrolls. Which means that one way of looking at this report is to say that all of the new jobs created were second or third jobs, going to people who were already employed elsewhere. Meanwhile, the number of people unemployed for six months or longer went up by 89,000 people this month, to 4.8 million, and the average duration of unemployment also rose, to 36.9 weeks from 35.3 weeks.
http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2013/03/08/the-stagnation-behind-the-excellent-jobs-report/
- reply
parentHmm... Layoff numbers, housing prices and starts, and ISM
(#301040)indices indicate that fundamentals are the strongest they've been in four years. So I'm going to wait another few months for things to smooth out before I start to sweat numbers from the Household Survey.
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parentWormy little snot-weasel
(#301019)made to cough up $100,000. Dude needs an ass kicking too.
http://wonkette.com/505026/wonket-sexclusive-totally-blameless-crime-sto...
It's clear now
(#301045)that Barack Obama enjoys yanking the chain of conspiracy theorists. After Brennan got filibustered over the question of droning US citizens in the US, it was arranged for Brennan to get sworn in using a copy of the US Constitution with the Bill of Rights missing.
That is Weirdly Funny...Sort of...nt
(#301046)Traveller
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parentThis story should kill off
(#301047)any residual respect Manish has left for science professors.
64-year UNC physics prof believed Denise Milani wanted him to bring her a suitcase from Bolivia.
I Wanted to Say, "Thanks, the Best Story Evar!" But...
(#301048)...I wanted to see Mr. Frampton as a fool, which is an acceptable and honorable position for a man to be in...but he was dissembling, a not so clever con who got far less than he deserved...4 years and 8 months, house arrest, he skated.
He was guilty of drug smuggling of the boldest kind and thought that some American Scholar invincibility would protect him from...Doing Real Bad.
He injured all Americans and all travelers with his little scheme gone awry.
Thank you, seriously, but I kind of hate this bastard now.
Best Wishes, Traveller
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parentHard to tell
(#301049)It's clear by the end he knew what he was doing and decided to go ahead anyway, but it appears he really was duped in the beginning.
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parentYou Think, I Think Not...He Was Dirty...
(#301050)...it also particularly bothered me how gentle the comment section was toward this fraud...they seemed to buy into this cockamamie lying that Frampton is trying to get away with, and I'm not not with them or you on this.
I'm not quite why this so irritates me, but I am pissed and angry that this guy is getting away with this...and proud of getting the Provost fired!
I do hate this bastard...lol
Traveller
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parentThis Hang em High Reaction
(#301062)is hard to jibe with the sober questioning of the facts you presented in my jury duty thread.
I spoke with a retired LASD detective commander who headed up a Special Victims unit (not specifically children) about that case. He reached a different conclusion than you did.
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parentLet Us Be Honest With One Another, Honorable People Can...
(#301067)...honorably disagree, but your psychic slip is showing. I gave Professor Frampton a sober consideration going back and forth in the article to check and re-check what facts were provided. Much as I did in your Diary.
You wanted real and hard answers to several questions. I thought I and other posters came forward pretty well...you know why the Prosecutor executed scientifically literate people from the jury panel, you may not like the answer but you got one.
Different than what you presumed, but in line with how lawyer's look at these matters.
You thought the Godfather guilty of a horrific act, repellant.
You presented certain scientific evidence that I found weak, even given Manish's link that small "partial stands," of DNA can accurately be multiplied millions of times to give a larger sample.
But you ignored all my inquiries. Why only "Partial," fragmented DNA? Why only in one location? Samples were apparently taken immediately after the alleged violation. It wasn't a week later, it was that day.
In truth, and here is the hard part for you to maybe accept, but the prosecutor would probably have been more likely to get a conviction without the DNA at all! You had a victim, you had testimony, that's usually sufficient.
Partial DNA saliva on a thigh? So? Why not the labia, why not the belly, area's also tested?
I call foul on your bringing a Special Victims Detective into this also.
1. Of course any police will probably agree to convict...on anything, that's their job.
The bigger problem, which you don't even seem to acknowledge is there, is:
2. The officer wanted to agree with you, wanted to be sympathetic to your position as you presented it.
^^^^^
This is why there are trials.
I tried to point this out to you early in the conversation.
If the evidence was stronger there would have been a plea deal. If the evidence was weaker, there would not have been a filing.
The evidence was equivocal, therefore a trial.
If you want to take another whack at presenting this DNA evidence in a stronger fashion, have at it, I am all ears. But I already mostly agree, for the sake of argument, that the saliva was from the Godfather and on the alleged victim's thigh. I don't know what more you hope to gain.
Again, in truth, there probably would have been a conviction without the DNA. A weak, hesitant, frighten victim's testimony probably would have been compelling...theater. And ambiguous enough that the kind of questions I asked would not not only not have been asked, they probably would not have been legitimate.
So there you have it; at least an honest different view.
Which is why you brought the question here.
You don't get no better than that.
Best Wishes, Traveller
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parentI think this was a thing of an adrenaline rush
(#301064)I mean, imagine that you spend your life in the world of theoretical physics and then suddenly have a bikini model with D cups who wants nothing more than to have your babies and then find that you're involved in an honest-to-God no sh*t drug cartel. The level of excitement that you've got to get from something like that has got to be pretty intense, especially if you're a physicist in his 60s.
That said, you can find plenty of excitement by watching Scarface on Netflix and that doesn't even involve a risk of jail. The moment that you're asked to start moving cocaine is a really good time to politely yet firmly decline, get on a plane back to the States, and change your e-mail address.
That said, I'm kind of with Trav on this one: the "I'm just a poor, naive babe in the woods, an absent-minded professor who was taken advantage of" business seems... whiffy. My own thoughts are that there are a few possible scenarios.
1) He was a dupe from start to finish. These seems exceedingly unlikely: even the most socially awkward shoe-gazing aspie can probably figure out that when someone asks you to move an empty suitcase there's something fishy going on.
2) He was so enamored with his virtual girlfriend that he'd move into the drug trade with her. He's just gone from boring scientist to drug dealer with a hot fiancée. I lean towards this explanation.
3) He thought that he'd branch out from professor to criminal mastermind and start in the drug trade himself (hence the monetary calculations). In this case, he was criminally stupid--it's not as thought a physics prof knows how to set up a cocaine distribution network--and is lucky not to have had his bullet-ridden corpses turn up in an Argentine dumpster.
4) He's much, much dirtier than he's letting on and that his loveable goof persona is basically a smokescreen that lets him work for various drug running outfits since he doesn't match any of the profiles.
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parentI Concure With Your # 2. human Falability is....
(#301068)...endlessly fascinating.
He still got off easy...which is okay. Actually, I am happy for him.
Sincerely happy. Really.
But I'm not going to believe his crap either...lol
Best Wishes, Traveller
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parentI'm going with #4.
(#301069)Evil Westerner etc.
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
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parentYou Know in Indonesia or Malaysia...he Could be Executed...
(#301070)...I suppose knowing this, really knowing this, knowing in my bones if you know what I mean, is why my hair was so on fire reading Professor Frampton's recitation of the reasons for his predicament.
In South East Asia he would probably be killed...dead.
So I think he skated...which is good. That would have been a much sadder, but also true, story.
Best Wishes, Traveller
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parentLost opportunity
(#301052)how you didn't start this thread with the title "Frampton Comes Alive", "Somethin's Happening",or "Breaking All the Rules" is beyond me.
I blame it all on the Internet
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parentExceptions prove the rule. nt
(#301053)-
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
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parentSeldom Has One Story. . .
(#301054). . .been appropriate occasion for using the word "boob" in so many different ways. At least since the Manti Te'o uproar died down a bit. Assuming that he didn't manufacture the thing from whole cloth and was actually fooled at some point--
--I'd be inclined to suspect mamm--er, temporary insanity was involved.
The universe may well have been created without a point--that doesn't imply that we can't give it one.
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parentFrampton's story
(#301055)is only one of the implausible things here.
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parentYes, I see at least two...... nt
(#301065);)
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parentApparently, A Certain Line From "Seinfeld" Applies
(#301073)Real, spectacular, yada yada yada. Or at least "pretty real and spectacular to begin with, possibly given a bit of help later." Opinions vary.
The universe may well have been created without a point--that doesn't imply that we can't give it one.
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parentDid we upset
(#301056)Mod 62 so much he took down his diary, or is site gobbling posts again?
Diary Removal Function Has Been Gone For Years
(#301057)So I'm assuming the latter. Or a drone got it.
The universe may well have been created without a point--that doesn't imply that we can't give it one.
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parentIt's back
(#301058)somehow it got flagged as spam, sometimes a re-edit will trigger that.
I blame it all on the Internet
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parentNo Re-Edits by Me
(#301063)Although it probably needs it.
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parentManipulated Images? Now This is Fascinating...
(#301059)Efforts to automate the detection of doctored images are bearing fruit. Last year Fourandsix Technologies, a start-up based in Silicon Valley, began selling an add-on for Photoshop, called FourMatch, that determines whether an image has come straight from a camera or has been manipulated. It compares the “metadata” associated with the image against a database of signatures that represent the characteristic ways in which different devices capture and compress image data, to ensure that the image is what it claims to be. FourMatch is sold primarily to law-enforcement agencies and costs $890. But it cannot tell whether a manipulated image has been slightly tweaked or extensively doctored. So a human analyst is still needed “in the loop”, says Mr Farid, one of the firm’s co-founders. A trained eye can spot inconsistencies in shadows, reflections and incorrect perspective.
http://www.economist.com/news/technology-quarterly/21572915-digital-imaging-insurers-publishers-law-enforcement-agencies-and-dating-sites-are
A long article, but Very interesting in listing all the ways an image can be ill used to defraud and whatnot! Good stuff.
Best Wishes, Traveller
For those following the state of the Arctic in winter
(#301061)http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/03/the-cracks-of-dawn/
usually in winter the Arctic forms a large ice pack over the NH. And after a big melt, there is usually a rebound. However, following last year's record melt, this year's winter ice is showing significant observational changes. Read all about it, utterly fascinating stuff.
And pretty dramatic, how our little individual human activities can change an entire planet's weather system.
http://www.nunatsiaqonline.ca/stories/article/65674huge_arctic_sea_ice_c...
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
The glaciers aren't getting considerably smaller
(#301071)We know this because Al Gore has some big houses.
working link
http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/03/the-cracks-of-dawn.html
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
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parentI Feel Kind of Helpless on Humankind and Climate Change...
(#301072)...I used to argue this pretty strongly, but I honestly, in my opinion, don't see a solution...to the shortsightedness and rapaciousness of people and societies.
So I have kind of given up.
But I am glad to see others fighting the good fight.
Best Wishes, Traveller
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parentGeoengineering
(#301074)Sun shades in space, for example.
It will come to that. It will be costly. Some people will make a fortune, including the very banks that are making money off fossil fuels now.
It's either that, or oven Earth.
The GOP is being incredibly stupid here. Instead of denying the science, they should be talking up a new "climate management industry" opportunity for American capital and technology. Throwing business to the big aerospace firms sounds win-win to me from a GOP standpoint. I think the party would have gone in that direction under Reagan. Climate Star Wars.
Greens hate this kind of solution, so nobody could accuse the GOP of caving to them.
I'm agnostic on it myself. I'd rather we manage greenhouse gas emissions, but if we can't, and we probably can't, every solution should be on the table.
I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.
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parent