I'm On The Front Page!! (Edited For Actual Posting Nutrition!)


Heck. Just thought I'd see if everything is now auto-posting. You're welcome!

EDIT: Given that Senator McCain is making the surge the centerpiece of his foreign policy resume, it would be helpful, heck, it would be refreshing, if he gave some indication that he understood...

What in fact constituted...The Surge.

Details, and they're embarrassing, here.
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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

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Offered for tomsyl -- new Obama at U of C article (#105026)
by Bill White

tomsyl and I were discussing Obama and Chicago earlier. Here is a brand new article:

Obama first came to the University of Chicago Law School's attention via one of its more celebrated conservative faculty members, Michael McConnell, who's now a federal judge on the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals and reportedly was on George W. Bush's short list of potential Supreme Court nominees. Back in 1990, when McConnell was still teaching at Chicago, he wrote an article about church- state relations for the Harvard Law Review that Obama, who was then the Law Review's president, edited. As McConnell recently recalled the experience to Politico: "A frequent problem with student editors is that they try to turn an article into something they want it to be. It was striking that Obama didn't do that. He tried to make it better from my point of view." McConnell was so impressed with Obama that he recommended him to the head of Chicago's appointments committee at the time, Douglas Baird, a bankruptcy expert and a law-and-economics devotee. "Michael's a very smart guy who's basically a very good judge of horse flesh--he wouldn't typically recommend people," says Baird.

and this:

But other Chicago conservatives seem content with the fact that Obama tried to understand their point of view, even if he didn't wind up adopting it. "What I know from my dealings with him at the law school is that he does really attempt to understand the points of view of other people who look at the world or a particular issue differently than he does," says Fischel. "He's much more intellectual, much more thoughtful, much more interested in discussion, debate, and dialogue than the typical politician. And that gives me some confidence about him, even though from my perspective he's much too liberal. I've never voted for a Democrat in my entire life. He's the first one I might vote for."

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. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

Thx Bill (#105047)
by tomsyl

Actually, I was impressed by the previous quote about him wanting students in his class to be uncomfortable aabout AA.

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Rust never sleeps.

Hi-jacked for an open thread-ish comment (#104981)
by Bill White

I'm out of here for the evening. We can resume later ...

Cheers to all!

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. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

McCain's Anbar shiek killed by al Qaeda? (#104967)
by Bill White

Per CNN:

Responding to charges McCain had misspoken, spokesman Tucker Bounds reiterated the campaign’s position that the surge was "responsible for the reduction in violence we have seen over the last year and a half."

"Democrats can debate whether the Awakening would have survived without the surge, or whether the Shiite militias would have unilaterally disarmed without US troops and our Iraqi allies disarming them by force, but that is a transparent effort to minimize the role of our commanders and our troops in defeating the enemy, because to credit them would be to disparage the judgment of Barack Obama and praise the leadership of John McCain," Bounds also said.

"If Barack Obama had had his way, the Sheiks who started the Awakening would have been murdered at the hands of al Qaeda, and US forces would have already left Iraq in defeat," he added.

Eh, there is this:

In September 2007, Abdul Sattar Abu Risha, the sheik widely credited with persuading Sunni leaders to turn against al Qaeda in Iraq, died in a bomb attack in Anbar. His work, prior to then, was held as a major effort in transforming the province from one of Iraq's deadliest areas into one of its safest.

Colonel McFarland:

"Only Sattar could have gotten the Awakening movement started. But now that it's started, I believe that it has enough irreversible momentum behind it that it won't stop without him," MacFarland said.

"But it will change without him because he was a unifying force, so what I think you may see is a bit more decentralization now in the Awakening movement," he said in his Pentagon office on Friday afternoon.

Tucker Bounds (yesterday): "If Barack Obama had had his way, the Sheiks who started the Awakening would have been murdered at the hands of al Qaeda,"

Reality: The sheik most responsible for the Awakening was killed by al Qaeda

= = =

Yes, the surge helped, however John McCain's campaign appears very confused on the details of what actually happened.

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. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

Only Sattar could have gotten the Awakening movement started (#104972)
by Bill White

Given McCain's comments re: Obama doesn't this quote from McFarland offer dis-repect to the valor and skill of the US military?

"Only Sattar could have gotten the Awakening movement started"

Wasn't it the surge that caused the Awakening? More revisinary history?

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. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

Seriously (#104975)
by Macallan

Is this the best Obamaphiles can come up with?

I see everyone trying to cling to this thin Anbar reed, and it really makes wonder.

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“I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.”

Really? (#105004)
by Wagster

McCain seems to be confused about the order in which -- arguably -- the two most important developments in Iraq occurred. To paraphrase Hilzoy... when you're basing your entire campaign on foreign policy expertise, is the barest acquaintance with foreign policy facts too much to ask for?

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More Wagster!

Apparently, (#104996)
by Macallan

...the answer is 'yes!'

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“I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.”

Thin Anbar reed? (#104995)
by Gabriel

It's not that difficult. McCain claimed that A led to B even though it turns out that B happened before A. This is simply wrong, whatever you may think of the pros and cons of the surge. The simple historical fact which McCain appears to ignore is that the surge could not have caused the awakening since it began after it.

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Yes, Heaven Forbid One Should Be Accurate Regarding the War (#104991)
by Harley

The inconvenience is sometimes galling, I suppose. Also,
'Obamaphile' becomes tiresome. Perhaps a new insult.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

It's your call (#105000)
by Macallan

But, comparing McCain's versus Obama's positions at the time the Anbar Salvation Council was pleading for U.S. support doesn't make sense to me -- if the idea is to actually help Sen. Obama.

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“I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.”

Me On Line One! (#105008)
by Harley

That Anbar Reed is more about McCain making a fairly egregious error about the Surge timeline, betraying either ignorance or, more likely, the politician's sometime desire to take credit for something he does not deserve it for. Then, to make matters worse, he's now basically redefining what The Surge actually is in order to make his previous error less embarrassing. (That he did so in front of a grocery store cheese case is almost poetic.)

This has been a terrible couple days for McCain as a result. And it has nothing to do with comparing positions, tho' at least Senator Obama was accurate in describing when the Awakening occurred.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

OK (#105018)
by Macallan

I can see it is rather futile to point out why this is a 'win the battle, lose the war' proposition, so carry on.

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“I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.”

No Need (#105034)
by Harley

It's actually rather simple politics. It may not be fair. But it's the way things work. McCain has made the Surge the centerpiece of his political campaign. He made a public statement suggesting he doesn't know the time-line of the event itself, then spent the next day trying to re-define the Surge so that it might better fit his previous misstatement. In other words, he's spent the last 48 hours sounding and acting like GW Bush.

That is the war, friend. And it's one, unlike the Surge itself, that McCain is losing. Hence the anger and vitriol that spewed from both the candidate and his campaign surrogates today. Hence the cancelled press avails. Nobody likes to ride a sinking ship.

And coming on the heels of the Maliki endorsement, not to mention Obama's fairly seamless overseas trip (thus far), it makes for an absolutely terrible week for the McCain campaign.

That doesn't mean he's going to lose the general election. It just means his campaign is in some trouble at the moment. I would suggest the latter statement comes as close to objective truth as you'll get in this process.

McCainiacs may disagree, of course.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Who is 'losing the war'? (#105019)
by Gabriel

Obama?

if so, at least you recognize that McCain made a mistake on this.

But why do you say Obama is 'losing the war' on the Iraq debate? I see no evidence of that.

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Understandably - nt (#105020)
by Macallan

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“I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.”

If you have a point (#105021)
by Gabriel

I'm sure you can make it.

Where is the evidence that Obama is losing the war on the Iraq debate? The polls and the press indicate quite the opposite. Heck, Max Boot is forced to write articles explaining how he knows better than Maliki what Iraq needs most. Obama has managed to get the Iraqui govt as well as the US govt to agree with his timeline proposal. The only one left out is McCain.

If you think Obama is losing this war what are you basing it on?

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Now The McCain Campaign is Just Doing Comedy (#104994)
by Harley

The major Sunni sheik who John McCain said was protected by the surge and subsequently helped lead the Anbar Awakening, was actually assassinated by an al-Qaeda led group in midst of the surge.

On Tuesday evening, McCain falsely claimed that the downturn in violence in Iraq’s Anbar province was a result of the surge, when in fact the surge began months afterward. Moreover, he said, if it weren’t for the work of U.S. forces, the major Sunni figure leading that awakening wouldn’t have had the protection he needed.

***

The Arizona Republican’s campaign went further the next day, claiming that the major figures that turned around Anbar province would have been killed had the surge policy not been in place. “If Barack Obama had had his way, the Sheiks who started the Awakening would have been murdered at the hands of al Qaeda,” said spokesman Tucker Bounds.

Sadly, that murder took place even with the surge underway. In September 2007, Abdul Sattar Abu Risha, the sheik widely credited with persuading Sunni leaders to turn against al Qaeda in Iraq, died in a bomb attack in Anbar. His work, prior to then, was held as a major effort in transforming the province from one of Iraq’s deadliest areas into one of its safest.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

The only clinging I see (#104988)
by Spartacvs

is from conservatives in respect to the almighty 'Surge' which apparently swept all before it.

Awakening, ethnic cleansing of Baghdad, Sadr cease fire and 'the Surge' (mainly bribing the Sunni not to shoot and the erection of a forest of concrete barriers in Baghdad), in that order. Check with Maliki.

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

OK; meanwhile you check wirh Obama. OK? (#105054)
by tomsyl

On his trip he's arepeatedly praised the work of the US military and credited the soldiers with the success of the surge. (I read about it in The Sun.) He's there and you're not, so I'm going with him on this unless you tell me he's fibbing just to get votes.

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Rust never sleeps.

Neither candidate (#105083)
by Spartacvs

is going to miss an opportunity to praise the effort of US troops in Iraq, goes without saying.

As to the almighty surge, I believe Obama has stated he considers that 'the Surge' was a contributing factor to the current reduction in violence. Then again, depends what you mean by 'the Surge'. McCain's definition would encompass every positive development that has occurred in Iraq post the bombing of the Golden Mosque.

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

The Surge as history (#105085)
by Gabriel

Hilzoy has a great post on this:

http://obsidianwings.blogs.com/obsidian_wings/2008/07/the-surge-cause.ht...

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Increased troop levels (#104979)
by Bill White

simply were not the sole or even a key proximate cause of the success in Anbar.

The Awakening very likely would have happened with 120,000 US troops or 150,000 US troops in Iraq.

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. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

More like posting malnutrition (#104819)
by Bird Dog

Let's examine McCain's words.

"Colonel McFarlane [phonetic] was contacted by one of the major Sunni sheiks." A true statement, more or less.

"Because of the surge we were able to go out and protect that sheik and others." Also a true statement, assuming McCain was talking about the strategy that went with the increase in troops. The principles underlying the Anbar awakening are counterinsurgency principles.

"And it began the Anbar awakening. I mean, that's just a matter of history." In broader terms, McCain is right. Colonel MacFarland wrote about the history here. As late as November 2006, the situation was assessed as a lost cause. MacFarland & Co. started their own COIN strategy ahead of the Petraeus schedule, so the strategy that Petraeus implemented nationwide some months later gets the credit. The movement was birthed in September 2006, but it would've been SIDS without applying the proper strategy to make it work.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

The Sunni's couldn't make it work (#104908)
by Spartacvs

the Awakening, without 'the Surge', how so?

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

4,000 reasons (#104983)
by Bird Dog

It took that many more Marines after the beginning of the new strategy to help secure the area (this link provides both the 4,000-troop link and Wesley Clark ridiculously talking down the strategy). The tribal leaders wouldn't have committed to the strategy without getting some commitments in return. The Battle of Sufia in late November 2006 proved pivotal and the tribes started joining en masse after that engagement.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

How many more Marines (#104989)
by Spartacvs

would it have taken if the Sunni hadn't decided to co-operate?

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

My policy is to... (#105012)
by Bird Dog

...avoid hypotheticals as much as possible, but I'll throw one back at you: How many Sunnis would have joined the Awakenings if a counterinsurgency strategy hadn't been employed in the first place?

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

Why would a strategy (#105028)
by Spartacvs

that involves co-opting and buying off former adversaries involve deploying more troops?

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

Click the MacFarland link, and learn (#105080)
by Bird Dog

nt

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

You Sir, Are Entirely Consistent. nt (#104905)
by Harley

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Actually no (#104843)
by Gabriel

In broader terms, McCain is not right. He is wrong. The surge came AFTER the Anbar awakening and so it could not have caused it, as he claims ("And it began the Anbar awakening").

Let's leave the politician's lies out of the debate, if possible. Or is McCain simply 'confused'?

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Actually, yes (#104974)
by Bird Dog

The strategy used by Col. MacFarland was a counterinsurgency strategy. The surge was more than just an increase in troops. It encompassed a new way of doing things, which required a greater number of troops to get the job done. What you're trying to do is limit "surge" to just an increase in troop levels. It was much, much more than that.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

Actually no (#104993)
by Gabriel

Please, leave the spin for the politicians. You are trying to redefine the surge so that it includes a period of time that was, up to now, never part of it. Pretty soon you will be arguing that the surge predated the war itself. If McCain tried the same line of arguments people would suspect he was senile.

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Actually yes (#105011)
by Bird Dog

You are playing up the personnel move and denying the strategy that McCain had endorsed since Nov-2003. I don't deny that Anbar started ahead of Petraeus, but the strategy was all of a piece. As the term has been used, "surge" and "surge strategy" and "COIN strategy" have been used interchangeably to mean the same thing.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

Oh, Come On (#105016)
by Harley

Wouldn't be easier, on all of us, if you simply admitted that McCain misspoke re the Surge time-line regarding the Awakening -- an error that in no way undercuts his prescient support for the Surge itself.

I understand why McCain has to say this kind of stuff. Steve Schmidt tells him to. But I can't imagine why you'd do the same.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Yes, McCain misspoke (#105079)
by Bird Dog

As to the timing of what started first, he did, and I don't deny that. But as to the strategy employed, which really should be the larger issue, McCain is accurate in making the point that Obama is denying that the surge strategy has contributed to the improvements in Iraq.

Here's what bothers me, Harley. Obama was downtalking the Petraeus strategy, and one of the reasons Obama gave was that the Awakening movement started first, implying that the Petraeus strategy had nothing to do with said movement, as if the Awakenings and the surge strategy operated on separate and independent tracks. It's a false and misleading notion that Obama was trotting out. The Petraeus strategy is the Anbar strategy is the Awakening strategy. McCain has been right for over four years that this was the course we should've been taking.

The plan that incented the sheiks to join in Anbar is virtually the same as what Petraeus implemented country-wide. Obama seemed agreeable to how the Awakening movement proceeded, which brings him to this obvious contradiction: If Obama approves of the Awakenings (and it sure looks like he does), then he must also be approving of the counterinsurgency strategy that birthed and grew it. Yet, Obama has outright rejected the same strategy when it was applied to a larger area of operations.

And here's another contradiction. Obama outright rejected the troop increase AND strategy in Iraq, yet he favors a troop increase in Afghanistan and has said nothing about those troops would do when they get to Karzai country. If he proposes a proper COIN strategy, then he would look like a hypocrite, so I have serious doubts that he would recommend such a plan. For Obama, COIN is the strategy that must not be named. Or credited. For obviously political reasons.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

birthed and grew it? (#105087)
by Spartacvs

I think AQ should properly get the credit for that.

Imagine how things might look from the Sunni insurgent perspective. They had a choice,

{a}continue the alignment with AQ against the Shia central government and USA forces and be destroyed from within as likely as from without, or

(b)shift allegiance and align with US forces against AQ wherein US forces would protect them from the Shia central government.

(c)fight all 3 and lose.

They chose us, good choice.

Obama outright rejected the troop increase AND strategy in Iraq,

Show me where Obama explicitly rejected any proposed change in tactics by US forces intended to reduce the levels of violence in Iraq. He along with most Democrats, opposed an increase in troop numbers plain and simple not any change in doctrine, tactics or strategy.

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

Spin county (#105097)
by Bird Dog

So I guess you didn't click the MacFarland link. Disappointing. There were Sunni sheiks who were sick and tired of al Qaeda, but they didn't have the means or know-how or training or ability to protect themselves from al Qaeda's killing and intimidation tactics. For quite a while, they didn't join us, but MacFarland and his plan showed the way. The Battle of Sufia was the tipping point.

Show me where Obama explicitly rejected any proposed change in tactics by US forces intended to reduce the levels of violence in Iraq.

Sparti, his own bill is a direct and complete rejection of the strategy. You're trying to have it both ways. Obama never once endorsed the COIN strategy, and the increase in troops is part-and-parcel of that overall change. The change was an escalation in kinetic activity and he opposed any sort of escalation. The very title of his bill was the Iraq War De-Escalation Act of 2007.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

Battle of Sufia, November 2006 (#105113)
by Spartacvs
No it hasn't (#105015)
by Gabriel

You appear to be auditioning for a position in McCain's spin apparatus. Anbar began before the surge. Period. If you want to do an historical analysis of the origins of the surge, by all means write a diary. I'm sure it will be interesting.

But what McCain said is simply wrong. The surge has a start date and it is AFTER the Anbar awakening. I admire your ability to come up with incredibly inventive rationalizations but they don't work.

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Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

Obama supports those surge aspects (#104977)
by Bill White

not associated with increased troop levels.

His point is that changing strategy, talking to the Anbar chiefs, having a better local feel (as McFarland advocates) didn't necessarily need more US troops in Baghdad.

And since the troop surge was primarily in Baghdad not Anbar, how could more troops be the cause of the Anbar Awakening?

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. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

Wow (#104829)
by Floater

The contortions required to write that would be worthy of an Olympic gymnast. Given the way McCain is going though you'll be doing a lot more of it over the course of the next few months.

Hank, how do I take back my diary vote? (#104758)
by tomsyl

I voted Harley up on the specific representation that he would say nothing of substance in his diary. He gladly took my vote, then turned around and edited the diary to add something on McCain the moment I turned my back. We're supposed to playing at politics here, not actually practicing it. I want my money back.

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Rust never sleeps.

I've emailed you a refund (#104766)
by HankP

containing your full dues for the year, but it's been prorated since you really should have known better than to trust one of them Hollywood types. As to your diary vote, well, you'll just have to be more careful next time.

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I blame it all on the Internet

Yep, per Kevin Drum (#104755)
by Spartacvs

February 2006: Muqtada al-Sadr orders an end to execution-style killings by Mahdi Army death squads.

August 2006: Sadr announces a broad ceasefire, which he has maintained ever since.

September 2006: The Sunni Awakening begins. Tribal leaders, first in Anbar and later in other provinces, start fighting back against al-Qaeda insurgents.

March 2007: The surge begins.

McCain is bangin' that 'Surge' drum for all its worth and unfortunately it seems to have taken root as accepted wisdom in the news media's low information voter based narrative of events.

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

Wrong dates (#104821)
by Bird Dog

It was Aug 2007 when al Sadr called a ceasefire, right after the Karbala unpleasantness. It was Feb 2007 when al Sard ordered his militias to end execution-style killings. What triggered the spate of killings by his squads in the first place was the Golden Mosque bombing, which happened in Feb 2006. The surge began in Feb 2007, not March. I can't believe Drum is this bad on basic facts. The Anbar Awakening did begin in Aug 2006, so one out of four isn't bad, no?

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

The dates are as you say - my bad (#104828)
by Spartacvs

Specifically, my bad for quoting Drum's bad without checking.

As far as the effectiveness of 'the Surge' goes. I think you need to split out the change in tactics which began a little earlier and preceded Petraeus. From the increase in troop numbers, which began slowly and wasn't up to effective strength allowing operations for which they were earmarked to commence, until much later in June 2007.

On the significance of 'the Surge', I think the jury is still out. Would Iraq have spiraled out of control without 'the Surge'? did 'the Surge' play significantly more of a role than supporting and consolidating developments taking place independent of 'the Surge'? (Sunni Awakening, Sadr ceasefire, ethnic cleansing in Baghdad)

My guess not surprisingly is that Obama perhaps undersells 'the Surge' while McCain oversells it, each for their own political reasons. So it's likely the truth lies somewhere in between with 'the Surge' deserving partial credit for the current reduction in violence and most of that going to the change in tactics than the relatively small increase in troop numbers. As a final thought, what credit does al Maliki give 'the Surge?

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

Same strategy (#104839)
by Bird Dog

I'll link it again. In MacFarland's own words, he employed a counterinsurgency strategy in Ramadi that was extraordinarily similar to the one Petraeus implemented half a year later, and the Petraeus plan dovetailed with the work done by our Marines in Anbar.

The problem wasn't that COIN tactics weren't being employed prior to Feb 2007. They were, but mostly by Marines who incorporated small wars doctrine into their training, and it was only done piecemeal and without any overarching coordination. The Army didn't have that culture or training, so it was a big deal that an Army general made this change and made it countrywide.

The Petraeus strategy didn't commence in June 2007, it started four months earlier when he ordered soldiers out of FOBs and into COPs. We didn't reach full manpower until June 2007.

As a final thought, what credit does al Maliki give 'the Surge?

He didn't mention it directly in der Spiegel, but he should've.

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"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

Maliki Backs Obama’s Troop Withdrawal Plan (#104848)
by Spartacvs

Doesn't credit 'the Surge':

There are many factors, but I see them in the following order. First, there is the political rapprochement we have managed to achieve in central Iraq. This has enabled us, above all, to pull the plug on al-Qaida. Second, there is the progress being made by our security forces. Third, there is the deep sense of abhorrence with which the population has reacted to the atrocities of al-Qaida and the militias. Finally, of course, there is the economic recovery.

I would be more generous and allow at least partial credit to the change in tactics by US forces and to the increase in US troop numbers, mainly in Baghdad, collectively know as 'the Surge strategy'. But 'the Surge' is not the only reason and certainly not the primary reason why both Obama and the Iraqi government are largely in agreement on the prospect of withdrawal and able to say to Bush-McCain, "thanks but we can take it from here".

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

It'll Catch Up With Him (#104762)
by Harley

Imagine if he got the ABC/George & Charlie debate treatment that they gave Obama in Pennsylvania. Now *that's* entertainment.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Oh and Dolchstoßlegende? (#104763)
by Spartacvs

Now it's official:

I had the courage and the judgment to say that I would rather lose a political campaign than lose a war. It seems to me that Senator Obama would rather lose a war in order to win a political campaign.

Americablog has the video link.

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GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

This'll Be Fun to Follow (#104764)
by Harley

According to Keith Olberman on Countdown, CBS edited out one of McCain's statements in the interview they aired. The statement?

The whopper about the Anbar Awakening. Damn you librul media!

Here.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Interesting (#104765)
by Harley

So CBS left in Couric's entire question to McCain, and McCain used it to to say Obama doesn't know what he's talking about -- but they edited out the portion of his reply that suggested he was either confused or lying. Or simply doesn't know the timeline himself.

How did they bust CBS? By reading the transcript of the interview, as posted on the CBS news site.

Heh.

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"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Gosh, that reminds me of the New York Times (#104787)
by tomsyl

I heard they'll publish anything McCain writes, but refuse to let Obama respond unless he agrees to do so on Pinchie Sulzburger's terms. Damned conservative media.

--

Rust never sleeps.

Gosh, That's Completely Irrelevant (#104796)
by Harley

And while I don't support the NY Times decision, I'm not surprised that while Obama wrote an op-ed outlining a policy position, McCain submitted an op-ed attacking Obama.

And one could, just for the record, argue that Punch was applying a kind of equal time formula. But no matter how you cut it, the McCain campaign just gets worse and worser. There's no center, no core belief, nothing. Except their growing frustration, and soon outright anger*, at the politician who continues to elude them. He's the bamboozler!!

(This, btw, is exactly what happened to the Clinton campaign.)

*Actually, McCain's new and oft-repeated catch phrase about Obama wanting to lose a war in order to win an election takes us to anger already. Accusing someone of sedition? Heck. It's the Straight Talk Express!

--

"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

It's merely your conclusion that McCain's draft didn't (#104952)
by tomsyl

outline a policy position. A conclusion you wouldn't even be able to state if Drudge hadn't published the draft. You certainly didn't learn that from the NYT.

You want to turn this into a discussion of the shortcomings of McCain and his campaign, not getting that it's not remotely about that. But I am interested in your ""Equal Time" argument. I've never heard of that being applied in a manner that lets the broadcasting company dictate what the candidate being given equal time says. Have you?

--

Rust never sleeps.

I suggested you elaborate on McCain's Op-Ed (#104955)
by Bill White

You said that wasn't relevant to your point. Looks like Harley is giving you another chance to post McCain's Op-Ed and interleave your annotations and opinions.

And again, I assert that if we remove attacks on Obama there is nothing left to McCain's words except platitudes and cliche' (USA! USA! USA!)

--

. . . and it looks as though they’ll punish the monkey and let the organ grinder go . . .

For the ninety two and a fifth time, it's not about what McCain (#104962)
by tomsyl

wanted to say. I've posted a link to the copy the NYT rejected; you and others apparently have concluded that it's not worthy of publication. You should have been reading it in the NYT, not as a poorly typeset "exclusive" on Drudge. To me this point is so obvious that I'm tired of arguing over it. If someone had proof that Obama's submission was rejected with instructions to change it, revised, resubmitted for approval by Shipley and only then published, I would consider that equally wrong. But if you think the Times has the right to tell McCain what to say in response to an op-ed they've printed by his opponent, you and I have very different views of the role and responsibility of the press in this country.

--

Rust never sleeps.

Perhaps (#104797)
by M Scott Eiland
Which Is One of the Reasons... (#104798)
by Harley

I disagree with the NY Times decision. But given that McCain's opponents have been complaining about the favorable press he's received for years, it's sorta rich to see that complain come from his camp. But hey, everybody works the refs. It may be hypocritical, but it's hardly unexpected.

--

"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

AFFAIK Rasmussen didn't poll McCain. (#104958)
by tomsyl

If half of the voters surveyed think the press is trying to elect Obama, you might have a bit of a problem. Particularly since some polls find that less than one person in five believes that journalists generally tell the truth, and a recent poll shows only one in four trusts the media to report on the economy accurately.

John Kerry probably has helpful pointers for Obama on how to use the press to get elected.

--

Rust never sleeps.

I have to say (#104799)
by HankP

this exchange of comments is really eerie. Was that an open ended bet, or is there a time limit?

--

I blame it all on the Internet

it's beginning to scare me! (#104841)
by Gabriel

--

Standard Disclaimer: I only speak for myself. I may or not agree with others. Ask, if you are curious. If I post about X I may not have an opinion about Y, no matter how closely related you think they are.

It's A Fair Fight (#104937)
by M Scott Eiland

Harley is an award-winning professional writer who is very capable of using language precisely without resorting to insults when motivated to do so.

Me? I'm just really, really stubborn. Ask Steve Peterson about that.

Still, it would have been sheer folly to start this bet without a last-ditch end date.

--

"I'm just really, really stubborn" (#104948)
by catchy

If you stick to your guns when a woman's affections are at stake then you can earn the stubborn title.

But if you've watched cooking shows when called upon, then you're just cranky with guys. There's a diff.

At The Latest. . . (#104800)
by M Scott Eiland

. . .it ends when the Olympics begin--I have some things to say about the gentlemen in Beijing that would definitely violate the terms of the bet if it was still operative.

--

Maverick should submit an editorial (#104794)
by Spartacvs

laying out the McCain vision on policy rather than an attack piece on Obama, then he might have better luck. "Get off my lawn" is more suited to the Simpsons than the editorial page of the NYT, but I'm sure the Sun would print it.

John McCain told Katie Couric that the surge caused the Anbar Awakening.

Just show me one example of Obama getting away with stuff like this on a major news network, put your sleuthing skills to work and find me just one.

McCain's Surge of Time Travel

--

GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

I'm not in the mood for a head fake; instead, the public speaks (#105048)
by tomsyl

Link.

--

Rust never sleeps.

If only more of the news media could be like Fox News (#105090)
by Spartacvs

In the latest survey, a plurality of Democrats—37%-- say most reporters try to offer unbiased coverage of the campaign. Twenty-seven percent (27%) believe most reporters are trying to help Obama and 21% in Obama’s party think reporters are trying to help the Republican candidate.

Among Republicans, 78% believe reporters are trying to help Obama and 10% see most offering unbiased coverage.

As for unaffiliated voters, 50% see a pro-Obama bias and 21% see unbiased coverage. Just 12% of those not affiliated with either major party believe the reporters are trying to help McCain.

"Fair and balanced"

--

GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

That does it (#104744)
by HankP

you motivated me to actually figure out what the problem was while waiting for my wife to get home. You're going to actually have to write something worthwhile to see the front page again, Harley.

--

I blame it all on the Internet

Heh (#104748)
by Harley

Let the voters decide!! (You in town August 7th?)

--

"How is the world ruled, and how do wars start? Diplomats tell lies to journalists and then believe what they read." -- Karl Kraus, 1909

Why yes I am (#104752)
by HankP

That would be Thursday, just let me know where and when. I'll shoot BD an email and see if he can make it too.

--

I blame it all on the Internet

I'll be in town (#104820)
by Bird Dog

nt

--

"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton

Reminds me of the prince who "just wants to sing" (#104726)
by tomsyl

in the Holy Grail. Only a bit, though - don't get excited.

--

Rust never sleeps.

I'm voting this up! (#104725)
by Macallan

--

“I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.”

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