Madame Secretary!!


Okay, so everybody's abuzz about Obama meeting Hillary in Chicago to talk State. As in Secretary of State. It's worth noting that he's meeting Bill Richardson too. And probably a couple others.

I'm curious what the Forvm has to say about this. Believe it or not, I think it's a pretty good idea. She's tough enough to face down the bad guys, smart enough to play nice when required. And she gets to be the face of America's new and improved foreign policy/relations all over the world. Not a bad gig.

And it also takes her out of the Senate and into the Obama camp. Which is a very smart move in and of itself. You know, keep your friends close...

Sully's on board:

I defer to Marc's reporting. But this idea just resonates with me as classic Obama. I don't think Clinton as secretary of state would be mere symbolism. And I think it's a brilliant way to coopt her without in any way demeaning her. More to the point: Dick Morris is furious and Drudge is trying to wish the story away. That tells you what smart politics this would be. The more I think about it, the more I support it. She did her duty this fall. And she is the kind of toughie who could be a real Iron Lady type with the Russians and Iranians. That global presence would be a better prep for a future presidential run (yes, I'll jump off that bridge when we get to it) and help separate her from her hubby. And if she turns Obama down, her leverage against him is weakened anyway. He did his best. Due diligence, and all that.

But I don't think it's a head-fake. And I think she may say yes.

Thoughts?
--

To think is not enough; you must think of something -- Jules Renard

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Hmmmm (#137121)
by M Scott Eiland

Did Obama make HRC the offer of SecState knowing that she wouldn't/couldn't take it because it would interfere with retiring her campaign debt? If so, Obama has seriously entered Magnificent Bastard territory, and--given that said MB actions would be hosing HRC--I'd have to give him mad props.

--

Interesting... (#137202)
by M Aurelius

If that's actually the whole intent of the exercise, I stand in awe.

If true, I've been misunderestimating Obama the whole time, and his game is deeper and more subtle than I gave him credit for. I'd have to go back and read Dreams From My Father again, but with a different light.

Of course, in this case, it would be nice to know what his goals actually are, since nothing would be what it seems.

--

Of course not!

I can see the political calculus. (#136825)
by M Aurelius

But the danger lies in creating the perception abroad that this is a co-presidency, because Hillary is such a large figure on her own right, and she would be doing so much of the traveling.

I think the one thing Obama needs to establish to all comers, foreign and domestic, is that he be da man. With Hillary, this will be less than crystal clear. From some vantage points, it will be downright opaque:

She's tough enough to face down the bad guys, smart enough to play nice when required.

As secretary of state, she should leave the tough-talk in Obama's hands. The Secretary of State is the top diplomat, after all. It's not the red phone job. The guy in charge of that lives in a big white house.

Also, her "toughiness", which I would prefer to call self-imposed hawkishness, has resulted in the very bad call of her Iraqi war vote.

Harley's unfortunate phrase reflects I think some confusion here. And confusing is what this assignment would be. Sure, I can see the political sense of it for Obama, though his presidency is less likely to benefit in the long run. Still, if she appoints her this is a clear signal that his priority is domestic. She does not reflect well his world-view, but she sure as heck would be a useful ally (and otherwise a potentially dangerous adversary) for the roughest four years we've seen in a while.

I can't really see the sense for Hillary though.

In theory she'd be better off becoming governor in New York. Thing is, Albany is not a dazzling metropolis, to put it mildly, or national power center (I lived there for some time).

Hillary would likely loathe the job. Her game is played in Washington, and that's where she wants to be. But she's there now, as Senator, so I'm not too sure what she gets for going to State. An eight year secretary of state? I don't think so. Four years? Then what? A four year presidential run? She don't need no four years. She doesn't need to establish her brand.

So there is no political gain. Does she want to jet around the world that badly? Maybe. But I doubt it. So then I would have to conclude that she has an agenda best served by her being Secretary of State, and powerful friends of the Clintons who want her to pursue it. Just exactly what that agenda might be, I couldn't say. But I've got some suspicions.

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Of course not!

Another Point Against It. . . (#136855)
by M Scott Eiland

. . .is that another significant event associated with Obama's election is that he's the first sitting Senator to be elected to the Presidency since JFK--and both major parties nominated sitting Senators for the first time in history. Maybe the Senate isn't such a bad base to run from President these days, and a few more years of seniority certainly couldn't hurt her.

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The fix was in this year. (#136873)
by M Aurelius

All three important candidates were senators. So I wouldn't make much of that.

Still, it does show that it's not impossible.

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Of course not!

Yeah, what's up with that? (#136877)
by hobbesist

Obviously there's the weird hiccup that there was, in effect, no incumbent in the race - Pres. or VP - and describing HRC as just a Senator may leave out the more relevant part of her claim to national stature, but why weren't there more plausible governors with their hats in the ring this time? Were Democratic governors just cowed by HRC's presence? Is one (or both) of the gubenatorial benches weak?

But yeah, this was a quirky year, in all sorts of ways. Not one to use as a template, I'd figure.

--

Brevis esse laboro, obscurus fio.

In order: (#136890)
by Punditus Maximus

1) I think you're right that Hillary cowed most folks. In addition, there's a random lull; in 2-4 years, the Dems would have at least a couple governors worth discussing. On the Repub side, they had to run legislators, because with the exception of Huckabee (and the extremely new Jindal), all their executives are blithering morons with records of grotesque failure.

2) Obama was in the Senate, so Hillary's opponent came from the Senate.

--

It's impossible to debate if people simply hold beliefs that have no grounding in reality.

She's got her "former (#136859)
by Steve Peterson

She's got her "former senator" resume bullet point filled out now. 8 more years of that won't do her as much good as 4-6 years of actually jetting around the globe constantly polishing her foreign policy credentials for a country that's accepted as branding that Democrats/Clintons = good economy. She's shoring up her resume weaknesses. And the vetting process will also help clear up some of Bill's baggage that she'd otherwise have to deal with in 2016.

Anyway, from what I've seen around the net and news is that it's already hers to turn down.

--

Steven Palmer Peterson

Yeah, but.... (#136874)
by M Aurelius

Foreign policy is risky. One major bad move and she goes to the trash bin of history.

I dunno. Sometimes you can be too clever. She does make bad moves. Otherwise, she'd be the president elect now.

--

Of course not!

Yucaipa (#136731)
by Blue Neponset

I wrote a diary about Yucaipa during the primary wars. For those who skipped the diary, here is the summation:

To sum up, Bill Clinton received millions of dollars in compensation from a partnership registered in a country [The Cayman Islands] whose laws will all but guarantee that the partners of the partnership remain unknown. If Bill Clinton were not married to a Presidential candidate I wouldn't care at all about this. Since he is married to someone who might be President next January I think we deserve some answers about this financial arrangement.

I know we Democrats are suppose to be best buddies again, but if Hillary wants a seat in Obama's cabinet then Bill Clinton needs to come clean about these business dealings.

On a related note, Dr. Marshall has some questions regarding the Clinton Foundation. LINK

IMO, Obama will do better if he has a SOS without so much baggage.

--

But she's a queen, and such are queens
that your laughter is sucked in their brains. -D. Bowie

You know what's really nice? (#136725)
by Punditus Maximus

Discussing politics without the baseline assumption that the stupid and evil thing will be done no matter what.

--

It's impossible to debate if people simply hold beliefs that have no grounding in reality.

My pick is holbrook (#136688)
by Davinci

Richard Holbrooke (from Wikipedia)

--

Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your

Dude, please don't do that (#136691)
by HankP

just post a link with excepts. First, people will actually read it and second, if it was from a copyrighted source that kind of stuff can get us (meaning me) in trouble.

--

I blame it all on the Internet

I know ... It was a bad joke..... (#136694)
by Davinci

second it was not copy righted and my edit key is gone so I can't change it...

Still my humor is a bit dark today... So delete it for me....

For the record I think he is a better pick than Hillary or Richardson...

--

Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your

Looks like Wikipedia (#136693)
by Chuchundra

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Holbrooke

Still...summarize, excerpt, comment and link. Don't just copy and paste an entire article.

--

Guard, protect and cherish your land, for there is no afterlife for a place that started out as Heaven.

Now that one is good for the eyes... (#136689)
by Davinci

nt

--

Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your

18 million voters (#136657)
by nilsey

and 100's of millions of dollars. that is what hillary clinton had going for her before she had to step aside.... it would be foolish for obama to marginalize her. i assume she still has relationships with a large constituency of democrats from the power brokers to the money people to the intelligentsia to all those voters that backed her. obama likely is consulting her, as he should. i have no idea whether a sec'y of state is being offered or would even be appropriate though.

Doesn't Make Sense For Her (#136655)
by M Scott Eiland

If she eventually wants to try for the big chair again (probably in 2016, at this point) SecState isn't a good place to prepare for it--the last former SecState to be elected President was the hapless James Buchanan. Obviously, if she wants to pursue a long term Senate career, giving up seniority isn't going to be helpful, even if she can win her seat back later. Taking SecState would only make sense if it was a stepping stone to something else--say, replacing Biden on the ticket in 2012--that she might not get otherwise.

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Might Be (#136661)
by Harley

Tho' the Senate ain't much of a stepping stone either. Hence the rumors that she might run for Gov in New York.

--

To think is not enough; you must think of something -- Jules Renard

I still think... (#136678)
by Punditus Maximus

...she'd be a superior Senate Majority Leader to Reid.

--

It's impossible to debate if people simply hold beliefs that have no grounding in reality.

We Dems in NY like our Governor (#136665)
by Chuchundra

Patterson has indicated that he'd like to stay on and I doubt that Hillary wants to try and beat him in a primary. Unless he leaves of his own accord, perhaps to take a position in the Obama administration, I don't see a path for her to be Governor of New York.

--

Guard, protect and cherish your land, for there is no afterlife for a place that started out as Heaven.

Maybe she doesn't want the big chair anymore (#136659)
by Chuchundra

I realize that the blogosphere believes deeply that HRC wants to be President very very badly and everything she does is to advance that goal, but what if it's not true? Running for the presidency is a long, arduous task. It's not unreasonable to think that having recently done that she's not excited about the prospect of doing it again and is looking for some other way to write her name into the history books.

That's not to say that she might not feel the call again when 2016 rolls around, but that's a long way off.

--

Guard, protect and cherish your land, for there is no afterlife for a place that started out as Heaven.

Obama may have another post in mind for the Hildebeest. (#136640)
by BlaiseP

All this breathless gossiping seems to be emerging from the pro-Hillary camp and is endlessly repeated by the Usual Suspects. It's probably not coming from Hillary herself.

Several salient facts:

Hillary Clinton worked her ass off for Obama after losing the Democratic primary battle. She knows she's on Obama's Accounts Payable.

The Clintons are in big money trouble. When Obama gets his ass in the sling, and he will, for the current jubilation and mass self-congratulatory frottage will come to an end, Obama will turn to the Clintons for support. Then Hillary will get her pound of flesh and she'll take it in cash.

If Hillary becomes Secretary of State, following in the tradition of Madame Albright, where would Bill Clinton fit into that mix? The private talks between Obama & Co. and the Clintons has the hallmarks of big merger talks. Bill Clinton is the shrewdest politician in a century. Even with his zipper problems, he's survived catastrophes which would have laid a less adroit man in his political grave: viz. Elliot Spitzer. The Hausa say where you find the snake you will find his wife, well in this case where you find the snake it's the husband you'll find.

For some reason, I am put in mind of William the Conqueror's conquest of Britain. All his life, William was at the mercy of competing factions. Though everyone remembers the Battle of Hastings in 1066, his most significant battle was at Val-ès-Dunes against rebel Norman barons in 1047, sealed by the Truce of God. These same rebels would form the core of his army of 1066. There wasn't anyone with any power William wouldn't make an ally, and he had his reasons.

After his invasion and the defeat of Harold Godwinson, William set about to pacify Britain. The barons who had fought William in Normandy were rewarded with as much land as they could hold.

All metaphors fail at some point, and this one is no exception. Obama is keeping his political enemies at bay by giving them as much power as they can control. He will systematically gut the old power structures, not as Bush and Cheney did, but by creating fealty in his subordinates, harnessing their own ambition to his own ends. Hillary will be no exception.

Less-than-brillant idea (#136638)
by Jay C

Having Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State may look like a brilliant stroke of political inspiration, but it's hard to see where either Clinton or Pres. Obama really benefits.

First will Hillary (and to a lesser extent, Bill) gain much in way of power/prestige (outside of free publicity) as SoS - more than she would remaining in the Senate? Or really get into carrying out someone else's policies? Also, would she be willing to run of the risk of getting "fired" - over some major FP debacle, God forbid - a year or two down the road? And thus end up with no Senate seat or Cabinet post?

And as for Obama - is he really contemplating outsourcing the execution of US foreign policy to the Clinton Machine? Rather than some of the no-doubt plentiful candidates for the job who would be beholden to him first and foremost, rather than his main political rival?

Still it is a masterful bit of political jujitsu from Sensei Obama: Sen. Clinton turns his offer down: no loss, no gain (save for positive press). She accepts (tho it's hard to see the upside for her) - even more positive press: and his principal rival is then on the payroll. Smart.

"his principal rival" (#136653)
by Username

Come on, they were both campaigning for the same nomination, but they have much of the same legislative agenda.

Yes, "principal rival" (#136658)
by Jay C

The tradition of the (national) political party machine seems to be a dying one in America: the Republicans made a good effort at building and maintaining one from the Reagan years until just recently; but the Democrats' fell apart in the 1970's: and it wasn't until the Clinton Administration that the necessary "infrastructure" - with its complement of people - fell into place again.

Regardless of the agenda, the tightest network of Democratic loyalties (prior to this year's DNC) - was tied to the Clintons; and despite Barack Obama's defeat of it in the primary season, and his own victory in the general election, I don't think their Machine has quite gone away -yet: and Obama has not had the opportunity to build his own. So for the near term, anyway, I think BO is going to have to deal with the "Clinton Lobby" as a rival, not a constituency.

And floating the Hillary-for-State balloon is, as I said above, an inspired idea to deal with the potential rivalry. A no-downside ploy, IMO.

Mostly agree (#136641)
by HankP

I don't see what's in it for her. I would think it more likely that she make a run for Senate Majority Leader. I suppose it could add to her foreign policy credentials assuming she'd want to make a run in 2016, but that's a long way off.

BTW, as far as the "Clinton machine" bit, where else is Obama going to find experienced people in his first term, anyway?

--

I blame it all on the Internet

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