Rethinking the Lessons of World War II
I usually don't write about foreign affairs. It's not because of a lack of priorities or interest. Indeed, I find it to be vastly more important when discussing presidential politics than most other issues. The problem is that I find it so obvious in terms of proper courses of action that I really never have much to add. In general, hawkishly myopic and simplistic thinking on foreign policy seems a far easier romantic seduction to avoid than grand top-down socio-economic adventures on the domestic front. Sure, both, IMO, are grounded in the same exact flawed analysis and thinking but this error seems so much more overt and easy to spot when thinking up grand schemes that involve far away lands with many more obvious pitfalls.
One event, upon which much of our foreign policy logic is based, stands out above all others: World War II...."The Good War", the war whose lessons seem to trump and mock as silly all POV's that would dare balk at the "obviously accurate" lessons we learned from that war.
A recent Cato Daily Commentary by Ted Galen Carpenter examines those lessons.
Carpenter:
The World War II experience is so pervasive in American culture that it's nearly imprinted on the national DNA. People who know nothing about other periods of U.S. and world history know—or think they know—the lessons of World War II. The pop-culture version is roughly as follows: Weak and naïve Western leaders, especially British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain, foolishly attempted to appease Adolf Hitler at Munich, but their supine behavior merely emboldened him, and Nazi aggression soon engulfed Europe. The heroic Franklin Roosevelt tried to rouse the American people to join the fight before it was too late, but he had to overcome the resistance of shortsighted isolationists. Ultimately, Japan—Germany's ally—forced the issue of American involvement by launching an unprovoked attack on Pearl Harbor. The U.S. then assumed its essential role as world leader, which apparently it must continue to play forever.
In short, those lessons are:
1. Aggression must be confronted immediately and without hesitation. Appeasement merely emboldens the aggressor and makes the inevitable conflict to defend ourselves harder to win.
2. Every event is directly or indirectly tied to America's security. Only naive, "isolationists" would question this truth.
And how have these ironclad lessons from the universal WW2 template served us?
(crickets)
The problem, as Carpenter says, is that WW2 is clearly the exception, not the norm. Sure, any arguments that would assert our entry into WW2 was unnecessary seem unconvincing and perhaps wishful thinking...especially in the European Theater. But should this then follow as the default stance to take when considering American policy in foreign affairs and matters of military action?
Whether or not America's entry into World War II was wise, the supposed lessons of the conflict have distorted U.S. foreign policy and suffocated prudent strategies for more than six decades. American officials and pundits have portrayed an array of tin-pot dictators as the reincarnation of Hitler: Kim Il-Sung, Ho Chi Minh, Slobodan Milosevic, Saddam Hussein. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld even tried to equate the clownish Hugo Chavez with Hitler. The notion that decrepit, third-rate powers such as North Vietnam, Serbia, Iraq, and Venezuela could ever compare to Nazi Germany—which had the world's second-largest economy and a modern, extremely capable military—would be humorous if U.S. leaders did not base policy on that fallacy.
Since WW2 "clarified" our foreign policy, its misguided lessons have been overused...if not misused.
Conflicts in Korea, Vietnam and host of other regional conflicts (ten in all) have not left us clearly in better places. Never mind coups and covert operations like in Iran. One can argue that they have in fact left with more problems than before. Now threats are inflated, our military over-used and over-extended and it seems that the needs for its further use never seem to end.
To hawks, it is always 1938, and every adversary is the next Hitler.Americans must get beyond such thinking, or our country risks an endless series of Vietnam and Iraq-style debacles—if not something even worse.
I say we give the WW2 mindset a well deserved and overdue rest. Serious threats and problems may indeed arise. But does it mean that we take every possible conflict or problem and apply the WW2 slippery slope logic? NO. The irony is that such thinking becomes the real slippery slope.
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Thought-provoking diary and interesting discussion so far.
First, I think the "lesson" of WWII is often terribly oversimplified to the point of nonsense. All too often bozos insist that we must go to war (or at least credibly threaten to do so) simply because anything else would be "appeasement" and "if we've learned one thing from history, it's that ya' can't appease an aggressor!" How dumb is that?? First, the definition of "aggressor" for those purposes has become quite flexible and arbitrary. But beyond that, if we never "appeased" any country that could arguably be taking actions that threaten our security, we would have been (and would still be, if humans were still alive) constantly at war with much of the world.
Having said that, I think it would also be wrong to adopt the mentality of the pre-WWII isolationists, who themselves were probably largely exaggerating the supposed lesson of WWI: that war is awful so we shouldn't fight half way around the world in other people's squabbles (and that we shouldn't even bother maintaining a strong military capable of projecting power abroad). First, doing so can indeed lead to a more costly war later (or to conditions that would have made war preferable at the earlier, lower cost), and second, because the lives of non-Americans DO matter. Preventing genocide or conquest leading to tyrannical subjugation can indeed be worthy causes for war.
And leaving aside whether or not we think a particular outcome would be worth going to war, of course we also have to factor in practical considerations: What is the likelihood we could actually achieve that outcome? How confident can we reasonably be in the probabilities we assign to possible outcomes? What indirect/secondary/long-term consequences could there be even if we are successful in the war. Sometimes going to war even for a worthy cause backfires. And sometimes NOT going to war backfires.
To state the obvious, to the question of whether or not we should go to war in a given situation in which our homeland hasn't been attacked, the answer is: It depends. As stated previously on this thread, it's a matter of calculation of costs and benefits (as well as related probabilities/risks). No easy, universally applicable, bumper sticker size rules. And by the way, I saw a bumper sticker today that said "I'm already against the next war", which I thought was witty and perhaps not meant quite so absolutely, but which, if meant absolutely, would be irrational, irresponsible, and immoral.
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)By the way, while I give Matthews a mixed review in general, he was on fire here. Just GOLD!
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| parent )That is a very interesting take on the war by Carpenter. In the short synopsis, going from Neville Chamberlain to Pearl Harbour, the Soviet Union, the nation which bore the brunt of the war in every imaginable respect, is not even mentioned.
So it's scarcely surprising that 'the lessons' drawn from the period are just as lopsided: Appeasement merely emboldens the aggressor and makes the inevitable conflict to defend ourselves harder to win. Non Americans understand that the war did not start with Pearl Harbour. It began in September 1939 when Hitler invaded Poland. The Allies declared war on Germany to save Poland. By the time the war ended in 1945, appeasement of the USSR was more important than Poland's sovereignty, and Europe enjoyed some 50 years of peace as a result. In this case appeasement did not result in an emboldened enemy. The Poles suffered, but in the end they were able to overturn Soviet tyranny alone and in a remarkably peaceful manner.
--Nothing resembles virtue more than a great crime. Saint-Just
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)The "World War II mindset" was abandoned immediately after the war ended. The country was weary of it and Truman was either incapable of or unwilling to sustain it against the nation's new enemies of the Soviet Union and China through their North Korean surrogate. Further, though MacArthur strongly urged it, Truman refused to nuke Beijing, thus insuring the standoff in the Korea that persists today. If the mindset you imagine had endured, that war would have concluded with the uncategorical military defeat of both North Korea and the then non-nuclear China--at whatever the cost. Instead, the US acquiesced in the substitute of the 'Cold War"--which persists both in reality on the Korean peninsula and politically in the nation now hosting the Olympic Games in the proud Orwellian tradition of Berlin and Moscow.
Thus, the conflicts you blame on antiquated total-war thinking are in fact typical of the mindset which succeeded it--the "Cold War MAD" or spectator mindset, where rivalries between the great powers flare up in hot conflicts that are confined to smaller client arenas such as Vietnam and the Stalin-inspired and Soviet-trained Iraq, which the American taxpayer principally participates in from the safety of his TV lounge.
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)If the mindset you imagine had endured, that war would have concluded with the uncategorical military defeat of both North Korea and the then non-nuclear China--at whatever the cost.
Darn. Lickedy split. How simple. That's the seduction. It all sounds so easy.
That's like when I hear:
If we had just put a price control on gas at $2 per gallon, we could have avoided paying $4. Simple. ;)
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| parent )that the mindset of WWII changed after victory, but my impression was that in looking back at the war, it basically scared the living s^%t out of everyone in the US government and military. That a country like Germany, defeated and bankrupt in the late 20s and early 30s, could come back to very nearly conquering most of the advanced nations of the world after less than a decade was a truly terrifying prospect. I think that explains the national security state, pre-emptive military actions and a desire for stable governments at any cost better than other explanations I've heard.
--I blame it all on the Internet
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| parent ). . .clearly the WWII metaphor isn't useful in all situations, it was certainly applicable in Korea (does anyone seriously think the world would be a better place if we had let Kim Il Sung obliterate South Korea without lifting a hand to stop it?), and it was certainly the right metaphor for dealing with an expansionist dictator with a fetish for weapons of mass destruction who was sitting on the pulse point of the world's economy. Other scenarios over the years haven't been as good a fit, that's true. I'd argue that #1 on your list above is a good rule of thumb as a rebuttable presumption, and #2 isn't anyone's position as far as I know.
As for Chavez, he's not Hitler, but I won't lose any sleep if another coup attempt--perhaps one funded by the Columbians out of irritation for his all but open support for the Columbian rebels--leaves him with a .45 caliber lobotomy.
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)I really have no clear opinion on Korea. Was it worth what our government forced upon the soldiers that had to fight it? I don't think so. Was it better off for South Korea? Apparently. Nonetheless, I'm not so sure the course of events it set in motion up to today can be said to clearly be a vindication of what our government chose to do...from the perspective of Americans.
As for Saddam, it may have worked for 1991 but not 2003.
And for the rules, rule #1 is not a good rule of thumb. It never was. Hitler was the exception, not the rule. I don't see that the world would a worse place had our government not been involved in Korea or Vietnam or pretty much anywhere else since 1945. Yes, the UN-backed effort in 1991 had some merit but that's about. The rest is pure speculation.
Rule #2 seems like a pretty obvious position held in the back of many minds. It would seem that everything is about our security...whether it is or not.
I'm no fan of Chavez either. Far from it. And may his little socialist economic facade collapse and he along with it. Nonetheless, our government should play no part of it.
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| parent )You may have seen this before:
The bottom half: South Korea, one of the most vibrant economies in Asia (not exactly a weak peer group), and a trading partner with the United States to the tune of tens of billions of dollars every year. The top half: North Korea--whose darkness in this photo conceals probably the closest approach to hell on Earth, along with a substantial threat to peace in the region. Without US involvement in 1951, all would be darkness in that photo.
It's sad to see the idea of non-intervention in Korea defended even now--even Charles Lindbergh admitted he was wrong after Pearl Harbor.
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| parent )I'm simply saying that I don't have a clear opinion.
Would all of Korea be like North Korea is today without our intervention? I don't know. I certainly hope not.
Let's not forget that the fear and propaganda enabled by the DMZ and US presence in South Korea helped consolidate power into an absolute and ridiculously oppressive dictatorship in North Korea. Talk about using a boogey man to its fullest extent on the road to serfdom.
China and Vietnam did not meet the same fate. I don't think it's a coincidence.
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| parent ). . .was a Stalinist dictator armed by, oddly enough, Stalin himself before the US ever stepped foot in Korea after the invasion (which, in case you've forgotten, was instigated by said Stalinist dictator). Blaming the US presence that Soviet-encouraged aggression by North Korea made necessary for the horror of North Korea is a classic example of "blame the victim" geopolitical outlook.
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| parent )Blaming the US presence that Soviet-encouraged aggression by North Korea made necessary for the horror of North Korea is a classic example of "blame the victim" geopolitical outlook.
I'm not blaming anyone. Why are you so quick to jump to such simplistic resolutions? I'm not blaming anyone. If that talking point is where you need to go then you are on a completely page than me. I'm simply acknowledging that outcomes can change depending on the presence of different circumstances. It's not a question of looking to point the finger at someone and be done with it. It really, really isn't.
Such arguments are NO DIFFERENT than watching your defense of markets get reduced to being selfish...NO DIFFERENT. It's the same lazy, one dimensional (possibly two) discussion technique operating under different circumstances.
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| parent ). . .this:
Let's not forget that the fear and propaganda enabled by the DMZ and US presence in South Korea helped consolidate power into an absolute and ridiculously oppressive dictatorship in North Korea.
Given that the result of the US *not* intervening would have been the consolidation of the entire Korean peninsula under a Stalinist dictator, it's hard to see how this comment *isn't* blaming the US for somehow creating a cult of personality that was already firmly in place. Where's *your* evidence for the notion that Kim Il Sung would have been somehow *less* malevolent than in the actual history if he had been allowed to kill millions and extinguish a nation without a murmur of protest? One-dimensional indeed.
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| parent )The only evidence I can think of is that Kim Il Sung was not a Stalinist; rather he was more in line with the national liberationist Ho Chi Minh type of Communist dictator. These dictators were more keen on ridding their nations of unwelcome imperial and colonial influence. Transforming the economic relations, which under Stalin was responsible for the most suffering, was pursued in Vietnam, Cuba etc without the same enthusiasm and these efforts were cut short or abandoned, largely because they were not popular and were unsuccessful. What Kim would have done is not clear. Kim did exist before 1951 and he expended a great deal of effort in opposing the Japanese occupation of the peninsula. If anything it was the Japanese presence that set the tone in Korea - northern opposition and southern compliance. This did not change with US involvement.
Who can say with any confidence what would have happened if only...?
--Nothing resembles virtue more than a great crime. Saint-Just
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| parent )what would have happened if...
And made that abundantly clear a few comments upthread.
I was merely throwing something out there to kick around...that "something" being that a dictator without a constant and immediate threat is weaker than one with one.
What would have happened if we didn't aid Southern Korea? Damned if I know. That was my main point. However, I though it was worth adding that the country very well may not have ended up in the present of North Korea....or that events might have led developments along a skewed path whereby it's very possible that "Korea" would not be unified peninsula in the image of modern North Korea?
Is that an outrageously impossible hypothetical? I don't think so. Can I prove it? Of course not. But neither can it be proven that Kim Yung Il would be the dictator of a unified black-hole Korea in the image of modern North Korea. It's just spiff-balling. I see no need to accuse people "blaming America" for offering out such an idea.
BTW, all that wasn't really directed toward you. I just replied to your comment and went on a little more than I planned.
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| parent )I'm still mystified about your idea of appeasement. If Allies signing over an obscure portion of Czechoslovakia to Hilter before the war is appeasement, it seems that their similar treatment at the end of the war of the entirety of Eastern Europe and North Korea was one big appeasement.
If not, maybe you could take a moment to correct me.
--Nothing resembles virtue more than a great crime. Saint-Just
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| parent )I said nothing about appeasement.
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| parent )Well, when you wrote this:
1. Aggression must be confronted immediately and without hesitation. Appeasement merely emboldens the aggressor and makes the inevitable conflict to defend ourselves harder to win.
I though you said something about appeasement.
My mistake, apparently.
--Nothing resembles virtue more than a great crime. Saint-Just
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| parent )made in the article.
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| parent )issues-laden college student about free trade.
My hypothetical was based in keeping in mind the possible alternate reality of the US not being involved at all. By that I mean that it would have been less easy to control the country as effectively without the circumstances of the aftermath of the war. A Stalinist controlled Russia as well afterall. His name was Stalin. But somehow Russia doesn't look like a black hole from space. You're a little too much of an after thought comment.
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| parent )You made an assertion--one that was accusatory towards the United States--and provided absolutely no evidence to support it. Why exactly would it have been more difficult for a unified Korean peninsula ruled by Kim Il Sung to close its borders completely and build its cult of personality than it was for North Korea? Your scenario has nothing to support it except the implicit premise that US involvement in the area cheeses the locals off and gives them an excuse to behave in an evil manner. I've heard that premise invoked a thousand times to either support isolationism or anti-Americanism, and it never ceases to *not* impress me.
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| parent )into neat tidy pre-conceived categories, you'd simply take it as it was meant and not as some ulterior motive to bash my own country or support isolationism.
And yes, I DID present a hypothetical...a hypothetical that was an after thought to main point. It's hard to present evidence to things to that DIDN'T happen. I was simply adding something to consider an alternate scenario. And yes, the fact that North Korea stands unique among communist countries in that region is something to ponder.
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| parent )Let's not forget that the fear and propaganda enabled by the DMZ and US presence in South Korea helped consolidate power into an absolute and ridiculously oppressive dictatorship in North Korea. Talk about using a boogey man to its fullest extent on the road to serfdom.
Still not a hypothetical--still an assertion without evidence.
Oh, and I wasn't accusing you personally of anti-Americanism--I was just noting the causes in which the "having Americans around goads the natives into righteous outrage" argument tends to be employed to support, one of which is certainly anti-Americanism.
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| parent )Fine. I should have dressed that quote up more completely in my hypothetical and finished the phrase since I was thinking of a lot more context than what I wrote. But I think it's clear now what I meant.
No need to take our presence in SK as a criticism of US Policy. It wasn't. That quote was part of thought process about what Korea may have been like had we not been involved...meaning in an alternate reality where one side won...probably the North...and the peninsula was unified. There would have been NO DMZ and no "immediate threat" over the border. The complexion of Korean history changes completely and we simply don't know where things may have gone. I'm not saying that this all justifies any action by Sung...or Yong Il after him, I'm simply stating that the politics there changes completely....how exactly? I don't know.
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| parent )it boils down to cost-benefit analysis, which is why I think the Iraq invasion was a mistake. But this also reflects the problem with cost-benefit, that we don't all agree on how to measure them.
--This place is my vacation.
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| parent )is actually the *beginning* of a certain type of American foreign policy adventurism, and while isolationism was strong during the Great Depression years, WWII was really just the resumption of a century-old policy of military intervention.
Check out this imposing list:
http://www.history.navy.mil/wars/foabroad.htm
What WWII did provide, however, was an object lesson which foreign policy hawks have used like a bludgeon ever since. It validated in symbolism clear enough for every child on the planet to understand the Monroe Doctrine notion that US foreign policy must be all about freeing people from Old World despotisms.
--Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH
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)WWII did not free any European from Old World despotism, but from leaders who were democratically elected and very popular until the war started going against them.
Even in Japan, the American occupiers hesitated to strip the Emperor of his title for fear that they would provoke a popular revolt. I think the general problem with foreign-policy hawks is that they want the world to be a great deal simpler than it actually is.
--The other day I heard that ignorance and apathy are sweeping the country. I didn't know that, but I don't really care.
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| parent )I'll agree that Nazism was a "modernized" -- and extremely overblown -- version of the Prussian cult of war, but it was still fundamentally a democracy in name only, corrupted from the inside by older power structures and based on nostalgia for the Iron Duke, etc.
Franco was a monarchist revolutionary against an elected (leftist) government. Japan was ruled by the Showa Emperor.
Only Italian Fascism was fairly new, mostly because the Kingdom of Italy itself was only 70 years old or so, but Mussolini appropriated the king's support and the trappings of Italian city-state aristocrachy, taking the title "Il Duce." Also, he took power by coup d'etat.
--Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH
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| parent )But why do you say "ironically?"
--God help the while, a bad world I say.
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| parent )requires either a well-developed appreciation for irony, or an utter indifference to human suffering.
If it were up to me, the Commander-in-Chief threshold would involve having the candidate watch Dr. Strangelove and then take a polygraph test consisting of one question: "Was it funny?" Stalin wouldn't have thought so.
--The other day I heard that ignorance and apathy are sweeping the country. I didn't know that, but I don't really care.
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| parent )