Troubled by tacitus.
I went back to read tacitus's personal blog after a while. I first started reading and commenting on tacitus's blog the last time I was abroad in 2003 (unfortunately the archives seem to be no longer available, so I'm partly working off memory).
What impressed me, particularly, at that time, was the confidence and consistency with which he approached issues, without necessarily following the motley group of left wing bloggers who formed the majority of the commentariat at kos - particularly his robust and, often incisive defence of his positions in the face of considerable criticism.
Now, the tone of his blogs has changed, to a regretful, almost apologetic note. Writing about President Bush being invited to lecture at his alma mater and the faculty furore generated therefrom
A full disclosure is in order: I worked for George W. Bush from 2001 through 2004. This is not as remarkable as it may sound: thousands of others can claim the same. I was a Schedule C political appointee — selected ostensibly by the President, but really by the White House personnel office, to perform tasks in the Executive Branch. For just under four years, I wrote speeches for the Secretary of Health and Human Services, first on domestic issues, and finally on international affairs.
Depending upon your perspective, then, I am either a public servant or a right-wing operative. What I am not is an unalloyed fan of the President. Having served in the Administration and seen the policy process firsthand, I am well aware of its shortcomings, its errors, and its flaws. Having had classmates from the Furman Army ROTC battalion killed and grievously wounded in Iraq and Afghanistan, I am also well aware of the terrible human cost of this Administration’s policies. The injured and the dead were better men than me, and so their loss is an especial blow to our society and country.
Now, as far as I can recall, I cannot recall this kind of measured analysis of the Administration's decision to go to war. True, I did not, at the time, realise tacitus's closeness to the corridors of influence - but , from his blog posts, it did not seem that if he had, at that time, awareness of significant -
shortcomings, errors and flaws
- in US policy.
My personal, separate knowledge of the Iraq invasion was largely as a result of my familiarity as a working colleague of a very close relative of Dr David Kelly, from whence I had an insight into the state of the WMD situation in Iraq which others among his commenters did not. Dr Kelly's subsequent tragedy had an influence on my then anti-war position, although as time has gone on, I have become more convinced of the continuing necessity of a meaningful US participation in Iraq (moving beyond the current focus of military aid to the Maliki governemnt on the one hand, and gaining contracts for US oil firms on the other) both in the sense of providing security and the laborious work of re-establishing the unity of the country. This is largely on the basis that if wise heads in the US Administration (and I have no doubt that they exist) do not do this, then no other country or organisation - certainly not the UN or the Arab League - either can or will.
Unrelated to this issue, but more in line with the general lack of direction is his views on China, in an article about foreign ownership of US companies.
The argument against the CNOOC/Unocal deal, by contrast, was more tenuous — and, troublingly, rests upon an assumption of China as a power hostile to the United States.
I cannot recall the older (or perhaps that should be the younger) tacitus having any confusion about whether China was anything but a potential hostile power, to be controlled and managed to bring it into line with US policy.
Arguably worse than its rejection, though, is that CFIUS didn’t deign to tell the parties, or anyone else, precisely why it had rejected the deal. Given the costs involved, such an explanation was the least CFIUS could have done. Bain Capital shareholders are now out $66 million, which must be paid to 3Com as a termination fee for the deal.
This is curious. Surely shareholders who were involved with the 3Com deal would (or should have been) aware that there were regulatory issues with their investment, and that there was a possibility that the regulatory authority would rule against them. That an investment can be positive or negative is, surely, the whole point of speculative investment.
America needs foreign trade and investment. By introducing an element of unpredictability into such trade and investment, CFIUS does more harm than good. And the problem appears to be getting worse just at a time when the U.S. economy appears to be wobbling and needs all the help it can get.
This is remarkable - I had not thought that he would actually concede that external investment in the US is either a need or indeed a necessity. The statement that the USA needs the support of friends and cannot 'go it alone' is a certain change of emphasis, a difference in the level of confidence - I am left wondering whether this change is within tacitus alone, or general to the conservative movement.
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References -

...he endorsed Mike Huckabee and actually started working on his campaign. I'm still baffled by that choice.
--"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton
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)He's a hardcore, pro-life, social conservative. Discounting the Huckster's nutjob plan for a "fair tax" and perhaps his deisire to end the Iraq war, the rest of his platform seems right in Josh's idealogical wheelhouse. Certainly Josh has argued in the past that a fertilized ovum is a human being and should be treated as such. I don't think John McCain is quite on board with that.
In fact, Huck strikes me as a candidate that well suits Mr Trevino. Strong Christian views and ironclad pro-life positions tempered with what I perceive as a real concern for humanity that I find lacking in most politicians on the right and on the left.
--Guard, protect and cherish your land, for there is no afterlife for a place that started out as Heaven.
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| parent )He increased taxes on net by $500 million over his term and he grew government commensurately. He is weak on Iraq and the WAMI, and he's a foreign policy neophyte. If abortion is a primary issue for Josh, McCain isn't that far from Huckabee and has better conservative bona fides. I would've thought Josh would've picked someone who is more knowledgeable and authoritative on issues beyond our shores.
--"I want America to know that I'm, like, totally ready to lead." -- Paris Hilton
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| parent )Presented with a lineup and the question, "Who would Tac most likely support?", I'd have picked Huckabee immediately.
--Excess on occasion is exhilarating. It prevents moderation from acquiring the deadening effect of a habit. - W. Somerset Maugham
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| parent )Huckabee was clearly Trevino's best fit. If one was baffled by it, one simply wasn't seriously reading Trevino.
--It's impossible to debate if people simply hold beliefs that have no grounding in reality.
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| parent )was the candidate who best represented his interests?
Or maybe he recognized early that a strong Huckabee campaign would split the conservo-Christian base and deliver the nomination to the straight talking centrist. But, probably not. I have a lot of respect for Trevino, but not that much.
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| parent )after he signed on with Heartland Institute.
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| parent )How have the mighty fallen! Poor old Josh, reduced to po’ mouthing about his alma mater Furman. There is another university in Greenville, South Carolina, Bob Jones University, one where various Republican candidates once went on a regular basis. Furman is as close as such Conservatives can get to the same audience without a Pastor Eruption. But it's only spitting distance, so we can safely presume the audience is similar.
I lived in the town of Dungas in Niger Republic as a small boy. The chief of Dungas had a trumpeter who would go before him, playing in fifths Ga-shi, ga-shi, Hausa for he is coming, he is coming. The trumpeter was fired for supposedly playing wu-fi, wu-fi, he is empty, he is empty.
Josh should refrain from adverbs like Cloyingly and phrases like Self-Promoting Righteousness. His whole second paragraph is nothing but just such self-promotion.
The Furman faculty is not united around the (W)e Object petition. An acquaintance of mine on the Furman music faculty did not sign the petition, two others in the music department did.
I have several passing acquaintances with Furman University faculty. Brent Nelson, the chairman of the PoliSci department is a graduate of Wheaton College, my alma mater, a mainline Evangelical school.
Nelson is pretty well known in conservative Evangelical circles. He's been writing about Protestants in the European Union, saying they are less accepting of the unification than Catholics. He, along with James Guth, have been writing and lecturing on the topic of Protestant belief in Europe, though only a tiny minority of Europeans could be considered Evangelicals by any stretch.
There are more practitioners of voodoo and spiritualism in Europe than Protestant pastors. The Protestant movement in Europe has long been on life support: its churches kept open in the interests of history by public funding. Attendance is abysmal.
Furman as a school leans far to the right, as does much of South Carolina. Beleaguered by sinking polls, Bush might have hoped to find a more receptive audience at Furman than elsewhere. Such was not the case. The (W)e Object movement surely must be a disheartening setback for the likes of Josh T. The PoliSci Department at Furman is led by a noisy exponent of a historically and theologically irrelevant branch of Protestant belief, a system I understand rather better than most, for I was raised in it as a missionary's child.
European missionaries couldn't raise the support the Americans did: as poor as we were as missionaries, and even with an attempt to distribute support among the missionaries, the American missionaries were incomparably better off than our European counterparts.
This seems to be going far afield from Josh's whine about Cloying and Self-Promoting Righteousness. I know this sort of crap when I hear it, for I have heard it all my life from unctuous carrion fowl of this sort. South Carolina is the land of my fathers, and I was born there. I remember racism in Columbia and Lexington, the wink and a nod Good Old Boys, and the slow changes they made. They got past the more overt racism but they developed an allergy to the Democratic Party they've never quite overcome. Mankind changes, but not that much, and not that quickly. That Furman has changed enough to rise up in protest, if only with a few hundred signatures, seems to me to be less a representation of some fundamental shift away from Carolina Conservatism than a sudden, violent heave of nausea, a vomiting-up of George Bush and his policies.
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)Heh; an arresting image, tho' I'm not sure how "sudden" the nausea is.
But, Trevino's bumptious prose notwithstanding, when he writes that "there is always a cadre of professors in any school that cannot resist a good, public display of self-promoting righteousness, especially when there’s media involved" and "[i]n their minds, these policy disagreements elide into moral differences"--he's right, no? At the risk of traducing the profession at which I'm apprenticing, there's just no denying that the tendency to use moral agitation as an occasion for self-aggrandizement--a tendency from which none of us, I'm afraid, is wholly free--is particularly pronounced among the humanities professoriat.
If the student body (or at least its self-chosen representatives) unanimously decides that they want to ask, or approve of asking, Bush to address their graduating class, then the faculty should butt out and let the students enjoy the fruits of their decision. Hell, more power to 'em--the busier that man is with ceremonial functions, the better.
--Brevis esse laboro, obscurus fio.
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| parent )is keeping "mum" because a good, bad or ugly Prez visit is good PR for their department.
--I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine
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| parent )I was just restricting my attention to one particular form of pettiness; that doesn't mean others weren't being petty in their own special ways.
--Brevis esse laboro, obscurus fio.
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| parent )Henry Kissinger once remarked academic quarrels are so vicious precisely because the stakes are so small. O to have been a fly on the wall in the PoliSci faculty lounge when they all decided not to sign the petition.
Curiously, one of the PoliSci professors at Furman is the faculty advisor for the student Democratic Party organ. No such advisor for the Republican Party can be found. However, there is a patent lie circulated by Christopher Mills of the aptly named Conservative Students for a Better Tomorrow (today being not quite so good for their cause ) saying no faculty had signed the protest, though they have since amended that lie. None of the PoliSci professors signed the rebuttal. I know two of the music department professors who have signed it, and one who hasn't.
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| parent )... but I'm no Kierkegaard. (And I hope K. doesn't take too much umbrage at your hiccup ;^D)
You clearly know the in's and out's of Furman better than I do (the extent of my relation to the place is the eponymously named building that houses my department*), and I don't disagree in the least with Kissinger's sage pronouncement on the subject, but the specifically moral tenor of this broo-ha-ha (& its kin--I saw a similar one when Condi Rice was invited to give an address a few years back at my school) still strikes me as something more, or different, than just inter- and intra-departmental squabbling. And it strikes me as something--I don't know, you'll forgive the 'squishiness'--unbecoming.
*Maybe you can help me out: when the campus tour goes by Furman Hall at Vanderbilt, the always chipper, always fetching/strapping young lady/lad relates that just as there's a Furman Hall here that's the sole white-stone building among the rest of the red-bricked ones, so there's a Vanderbilt Hall at Furman that's the sole red-bricked building among all the white-stone ones. Is this utter BS?
--Brevis esse laboro, obscurus fio.
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| parent )There's a Furman Hall at Furman Univ, but no Vanderbilt Hall I know of. There's Hipp Hall, Johns Hall, the Tmomas Center, which has a few halls, I think there's Rinker and Plyler Halls in that cluster, not sure if Riley is part of that, pretty sure it's not.
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| parent )Thanks for confirming my suspicions; looks like the strongest connection between the two places is swapped sports coaches.
--Brevis esse laboro, obscurus fio.
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| parent )If you have archives, particularly older than the last year or so, let me know. I have a question.
Thanks.
--Of course not!
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)site, so I was hoping [i]you[/] could know how to dig out the archives. Also IIRC, you were instrumental in setting up the forvm - it would be nice, also, to have a link from here to those archives. But I believe the site was entirely owned and run by him, so its up to him, I guess.
I haven't got any records, and in any case I just commented on issues. It was a much less democratic site than this one.
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| parent )the only archives that exist are ones made by individuals when the announcement was made that the site would go dark. The internet wayback machine doesn't have the archives available because Trevino specifically asked them to not make them available. I know some people mentioned that they were going to do a download of the entire site, but I don't remember who and I don't know if they actually did so.
--I blame it all on the Internet
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| parent )I mirrored the site a little bit before it went down. Then I realized I don't care and erased it. :)
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| parent )Has a thing changed, or has the viewer's perception of a thing changed?
Things get pretty one-dimensional, very fast in the over-heated rhetorical ovens of the bloggosphere. Partisans are quick to assume that if their position hasn't been selected...it must not even have been considered!. For no sane person could reasonably reject the only reasonable position--mine!
Different circumstances can bring other facets of an object to light. Not that the facets haven't always been there...all along.
I can be very confident I've picked the best of possible options, even though I've considered the numerous other options...and it may not take very much of a change in environment, for second tier considerations to become first tier. When someone's careful weighing of the facts match my own...it's nuanced. When it doesn't, it's rabid ideology.
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)changing perceptions quickly - and, of course news circulates so quickly as well.
Tacitus used to be pretty partisan in supporting Mr Bush, I remember several arguments he had with von, with the latter requesting him to take more nuanced views.
But I quite admired his apparent clear-headeness about the goals that needed to be achieved - whether that was his own analysis, or one fed to him by the Administration officials he worked with is, of course, difficult to be sure of, in hindsight.
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| parent )and note that his archives are offline for a good reason.
It's cute that he tut-tuts those awful professors who have the nerve - nerve I tell you! - to protest the President's speech. He really takes his "analysis" over the top when it "reveals a professorial group motivated not so much by politics as by love of self". This from "Joshua S. Treviño .. the founder of Treviño Strategies and Media"... He also notes his experience "leading scholars at a mid-range think tank". Yeah.
--Over here on E Street, we're proud to support Obama for President. - Bruce Springsteen
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)to that part of the 'conservative movement' that blogs. An extreme example is Andrew Sullivan.
However, to continue our "visit to the American South" dialogue; one of the greatest changes I noted during my own was the sudden acceptance by old family friends and relatives hitherto to the right of George Wallace of new-age values like 'eating healthy' and 'going green' and 'respecting gender-preference' (no support for gay marriage though). There is even a new Whole Foods in my old home town; thus I would venture that Trevino is what is now known as a "Granola Republican", relatively liberal on lifestyle issues, while remaining relatively conservative on traditional political ones.
However, it's also worth pointing out on this Memorial day, that Republicans have historically been uncomfortable with foreign wars; both World Wars, as well as Korea and Vietnam were conducted by Democrat Presidents--the latter two ended by Republican ones. If Bush had ever enjoyed the full support of his party on Iraq (it was conservatives, after all, who first adopted the term 'neo-con'), it might have been prosecuted with more efficiency; though because his appointees in nearly every other sphere have been spectacularly incompetent, it's hard to assert this with any authority.
Our successes in Afghanistan and Iraq (and both wars are now as 'won' as any ever could be in the Islamic world--and won with an astonishingly low number of US casualties) are a credit to the resilience and persistence of the US military, not the 'conservative movement', which remains as finicky as ever about the intervention. As does the 'neo-liberal' two-thirds of the Democratic Party, which can take little credit for either its prosecution or their fainted-hearted opposition to it.
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)Wow, I don't think even Bird Dog is so, er, optimist.
--This place is my vacation.
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| parent )....right, where he brackets, "won," with:
"...as any ever could be in the Islamic world."
I am pondering exactly what this caveat might really mean...but still, this sounds about right.
Best Wishes, Traveller
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| parent )A few preliminary skirmishes have been won by one party, yes.
The war in the subcontinent between the religious and cultural entities that comprise India and Pakistan today started in 711 A.D.
We are still fighting this to this day. Unbelievably, those 8th century names and imagery are still used to this day in school textbooks to justify the current war.
When we talk about prosecuting the "war on terror" and "Islamo fascism", we have not even begun to address the issues of school textbooks, perceptions of school students etc. And the same issues are also present in Iraq and Iran - the conflict between the Arabs and the Persians has been going on roughly for the same time as the conflict in India. Indian textbooks are somewhat less flagrantly antagonistic about Muslims but the subtle message is there, too.
The US has taken sides in this conflict, as the Russians and the US did in the Cold War times - the Cold War has come and gone but the hatreds and animosities remain sharp.
None of the protagonists "stay defeated". Every defeat is looked upon as a pretext for the next cycle of conflict. If anyone in the US thinks these antagonisms will be resolved by modern conflict management techniques has no understanding of our histories. Nevertheless, having entered these theatres, the US will have to learn to continue to manage these conflicts until they get fed up or their purse runs out - as it ultimately did with the British.
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| parent )....both the British and the Russians are object lessons...against staying anywhere on the Sub-Continent on a semi-permanent basis.
Until our patience or purse strings run out...sounds about right.
Or the blood of our boys.
Best Wishes, Traveller
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| parent )is not going to be won with bombs or bullets. Harley and other aspects of US culture will win ot over time.
--This place is my vacation.
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| parent )Never fear.
I give you Michael Cassio, Iago and Bianca, Indian style.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n9iyi3gHYzY
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| parent )This is not a war that can be won by bombs and, in any case, it's not much of a war at all. Any American has more to worry from a driver talking in his cellphone than from Islamic terrorists. Islamic terrorism was n ever that big a threat and was wildly exaggerated for political reasons by the right in the US.
--This place is my vacation.
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| parent )