Lieberman and Ridge Were Close to Getting Picked
Apparently Lieberman and Ridge Were Close to Getting Picked:
Up until midweek last week, some 48 to 72 hours before Mr. McCain introduced Ms. Palin at a Friday rally in Dayton, Ohio, Mr. McCain was still holding out the hope that he could choose a good friend, Senator Joseph I. Lieberman, independent of Connecticut, a Republican close to the campaign said. Mr. McCain had also been interested in another favorite, former Gov. Tom Ridge of Pennsylvania.But both men favor abortion rights, anathema to the Christian conservatives who make up a crucial base of the Republican Party. As word leaked out that Mr. McCain was seriously considering the men, the campaign was bombarded by outrage from influential conservatives who predicted an explosive floor fight at the convention and vowed rejection of Mr. Ridge or Mr. Lieberman by the delegates.
(The article is interesting overall so I recommend giving it a read.)
My guess is now that even if more and more stuff unfolds about Palin she can't withdraw then get replaced with Lieberman or Ridge. Dobson and crew would stay home in droves.
Would even Pawlenty or Romney be enough of a replacement? Or would this be a windfall for Huckabee?
Sticking it out with Palin might be the least damaging -- America has no problem voting for an air-headed veep -- but loopiness and the whiff of strangeness in her associations could be more problematic. My guidelines would be "dumb but normal" or "loopy and stinking rich".
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Steven Palmer Peterson
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St Louis Times Dispatch:
Yes, Amy Gwin could be lying or maybe a few nasty Democrats sabotaged Palin's Wikipedia entry but this sounds more like a low level version of Tuzla-esque resume padding.
--Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.
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)Really, Bill? Really? :^)
On the upside, this election looks like it will remain just as amusing as it started straight through to the end. The comedic staying-power is impressive.
--The ultimate result of shielding man from the effects of folly is to people the world with fools. -Herbert Spencer
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| parent )McCain gambling would have been to pick a pro-choice nom in either Lieberman or Ridge. THAT would have been gambling.
But McCain didn't gamble. He picked what he thought a very safe pick to shore up the base of the republican party with a very hard social conservative woman.
The fact he royally screwed up the process of said nomination is a different topic entirely.
This whole episode is not an example of gambling, it's of malfeasance.
--~At times like these I am reminded of the immortal words of Socrates when he said...."I drank what?"
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)A game of no skill, high risk and a big house advantage. It's now emerging his people didn't vet Palin at all. This is a craps player's thinking, to the T. He's betting he can keep throwing, avoid crapping out, letting the Social Conservatives carry his water so he doesn't have to.
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| parent ). . .has a very small house percentage, if you play it right (line bets only, backed by maximum free odds). If you can find a 10x odds table--not that difficult in Vegas--the effective house percentage is about 0.2% Cheap entertainment, really--particularly since drinking won't hurt your ability to play, and free booze is there for the asking.
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| parent )McCain can stand at a craps table for 14 hours straight. I know about his vice.
I just don't see this as "gambling".
Picking a nominee the party base would be ecstatic over is not gambling.
Not properly vetting is negligence.
--~At times like these I am reminded of the immortal words of Socrates when he said...."I drank what?"
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| parent )Sure, it's impressive to see that guy at the craps table on a hot streak. Come back a few hours later and see if the chips are still there.
McCain may have the guts to gamble, but that's only half of what it takes to be successful. The other half is gambling on your own terms: knowing when and how to do it, and not letting the other player dictate those choices for you.
Last week I would've been amazed if anyone had told me that McCain's VP pick would make Joe Biden look like an inspired choice. Now, I have a clearer picture of the motives behind both, and Obama was much savvier.
--The other day I heard that ignorance and apathy are sweeping the country. I didn't know that, but I don't really care.
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| parent )Tom Wolfe's original "The Right Stuff" essays contain a fascinating thesis concerning our 1950s and 1960s test pilots.
Wolfe argued that concerns over having the "right stuff" is a variation on the notion of Presbyterian election.
God either graced you with the ability to drink until 3:00 a.m. then suck pure oxygen from a tank to burn off the alcohol and by 6:00 a.m. strap yourself into a giant metal tube, light the engines and climb to 40,000 feet before ordinary mopes drank their morning coffee, or he didn't.
Therefore one must test fate. Push the envelope. If you have the "right stuff" you shall be safe. If you crash and burn, you never were one of God's elect to begin with.
Compare Pentecostal preacher Jimmy Swaggart -- consorted with prostitutes and then confessed his sins. If Swaggart truly was one of God's elect then he would be forgiven and that forgiveness would be proof of his special election. Circular reasoning AND a powerful incentive to gamble blended together.
The Pentecostal premise is that the direct experience of God trumps just about everything. Tradition, scholarship, prudence are for sissies. And this demands that folks push the envelope.
I believe McCain truly believed Hillary's PUMAs would flock to Palin and he believed this because he believes in his own election. Like a good fighter pilot MUST believe.
--Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.
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| parent )He was who I feared the most... Palin is getting pounded... They did not vet her and who ever pushed this pick should get the old godfather boat trip....With his base problem why did he not go with Kay bailey Hutchinson? She at least has some gravitas?
--Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your
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)CNN's Campbell Brown tries to get some information about Palin from the McCain campaign and receives 4 minutes of gibberish:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UYYiw_y2qDI
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)the more I think about this, the more I just can't understand how McCain could be so reckless, let alone his advisers. Were his internal polls so bad that he had to make such a radical pick? And even if that were true, the lack of vetting and even just talking to Palin is just incomprehensible.
The fact that Palin hits all the right keys for the cultural conservatives doesn't explain it, since I'm pretty sure that group was going to vote for him anyway. In fact, it's hard for me to see any group that makes up the Republican coalition would switch en masse to Obama. It's very puzzling.
--I blame it all on the Internet
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)until the Clintons threw their support behind the ticket and Obama gave the most important and well-received speech of the past 8 years.
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| parent )McCain needs to get the Democrats to attack her. He needs to stir up the sympathy vote. He needs to muddy the waters with all the old wedge issues, Hank.
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| parent )and there's borrowing against the mortgage on a throw of the dice. This seems a lot closer to a reckless gamble to me, and it doesn't even seem that it was handled with the basic professionalism that one would expect from a national campaign. I criticize the Republicans about a lot of things, but running a campaign professionally isn't one of them.
I also wonder - what if the religious conservatives get everything they want in a campaign, and it goes down in ignominious defeat? Will that make them abandon politics as too corrupt and the American people as too "godless"? Or will they come back pushing even harder? At some point they have to realize their positions are just not going to win on a national level.
--I blame it all on the Internet
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| parent )Ready, Aim, Shoot!
NYT -- 1 Sep 08:
Aides to Mr. McCain said they had a team on the ground in Alaska now to look more thoroughly into Ms. Palin’s background.
Billmon:
Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.
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)the MCCain campaign has to answer why, if Palin loves this country so much, she wanted to leave it 15 yrs. ago. Secession might not be that radical in Alaska or TX, but peeling off a state ain't exactly acceptable to the vast majority of voters.
"Why should we elect Palin to help lead this country if she didn't want to be part of of the US in 1995"? A recent secessionist only a heartbeat away from the presidency?
The campaign is in defensive mode for weeks, they don't get a convention bounce, and barring catastrophe it's President Obama.
If they ditch Palin, McCain's incompetence is on display and they're in defense mode for weeks, they don't get a convention bounce and barring catastrophe it's President Obama.
I don't see them recovering from this. What a royal F up. McCain is an idiot + deserves to lose.
I can't wait to see her speak!
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)if i were sarah palin i would decline any invitations to go hunting from cheney et al....
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| parent )Obama in a blow out . . .
--Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.
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| parent )- Login or register to post comments
| parent )Yah -- if she is dropped it's got to be someone more conservative.
That said, dropping her at all isn't a good option either. It's a choice of poisons at this point.
--Steven Palmer Peterson
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| parent )CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
and there also is this:
But if she leaves the ticket won't Dr. Dobson go ballistic?
And there is this:
--Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.
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)