In his own words


subprime lending is a good idea


As everyone knows lending money to people who can't pay it back is an interesting theory as long as you are using other peoples' money, the genius of Obama economics is just staggering.

According to Reins, Fanny and Freddie commited a $1 Trillion to the CRA effort. Now what was the size of the bailout.

--

"Making sure your tires are properly inflated, simple thing, but we could save all the oil that they're talking about getting off drilling, if everybody was just inflating their tires and getting regular tune-ups. You could actually save just as much." Ob

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Phill Gramm is the man you're looking for (#127226)
by callmeishmael

Gramm was always Wall Street's man in the Senate. As chairman of the Senate Banking Committee during the Clinton administration, he consistently underfunded the Securities and Exchange Commission and kept it from stopping accounting firms from auditing corporations with which they had conflicts of interest. Gramm's piece de resistance came on Dec. 15, 2000, when he slipped into an omnibus spending bill a provision called the Commodity Futures Modernization Act (CFMA), which prohibited any governmental regulation of credit default swaps, those insurance policies covering losses on securities in the event they went belly up. As the housing bubble ballooned, the face value of those swaps rose to a tidy $62 trillion. And as the housing bubble burst, those swaps became a massive pile of worthless paper, because no government agency had required the banks to set aside money to back them up.

Subsequent efforts to end the loop-hole were initially killed by Republicans in 2006 but later the House and Senate successfully overrode the Presidents veto in June 2008.

Impressive (#127087)
by HankP

he keeps getting slapped down by the facts, yet he manages to post one of these misleading diaries every couple of days. I still wonder why there's this desperate need to blame it all on minorities? It may be latent white rural suburban culture.

--

I blame it all on the Internet

According to some estimates I've seen (#127084)
by Spartacvs

Bushco committed a $1 Trillion to the Iraq effort. Now what was the size of the bailout?

Makes as much sense as what you wrote.

--

GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

Pop quiz! Percentage of CRA mortgages (#127077)
by Jordan

that are rated "subprime"?

**Clicks stopwatch.**

--

Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH

9 days and counting...... (#127086)
by nilsey

since the question was asked:

all timmy has to do is answer one single solitary questions: what is the dollar value of the total number of CRA originated mortgages which are in default?

answering that question would quickly signal the end of this theory which is why he will never -- never -- answer it.

as i said: i never expect a straight answer from timmy. this theory he's pushing is dishonest crap, aimed to draw a connection between the liquidity crisis and "raclal minorities" (to quote his youtube video) -- and he knows it.

Easy with the "dishonest crap" accusations, pls. -nt- (#127123)
by Jordan

.

--

Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH

JFTR (#127149)
by Harley

The theory *is* 'dishonest crap', as your own comment above seems to suggest. Is this about extremity of language? Cuz it ain't an attack on a commenter.

--

To think is not enough; you must think of something -- Jules Renard

As Scott notes, it's close enough. (#127180)
by Jordan

What's the point of calling it "dishonest" anyway? Why presume to know whether the people pushing a ludicrous, completely unsupportable idea actually believe in it, or are just out to cozen everyone? You don't need mens rea to prove this one is a turkey.

A bad idea is a bad idea, no need to make judgments about whoever brought it up.

--

Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH

That's Getting Gamed, Jordan (#127190)
by Harley

And a variant, oddly enuf, of the way McCain plays the smear game. He counts on the press corps to assume, and write, that he 'doesn't really mean it', and therefore it isn't quite as sleazy. Except the press corps isn't playing along with the same enthusiasm as they used to.

We're all responsible for our own ideas. The idea that Timmy is merely out to 'cozen' everyone is not explanation, it's an excuse.

--

To think is not enough; you must think of something -- Jules Renard

And still, insulting the arguer (#127194)
by Jordan

has no impact on the argument. Just makes it harder to have one – it's kind of the whole philosophy around here.

--

Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH

I'm always horridly fascinated by my own rudeness. (#127230)
by BlaiseP

Maybe it's like the old joke about kink: first it's just horrible, then horribly fascinating, then merely fascinating.

If someone says something which is just blatantly untrue, I wonder if it isn't smarter in the long haul to put it in the first person. "I just can't agree with that. The facts don't support it." Then you go ahead and say, "Why on earth do you believe such a thing, all the evidence to the contrary?" Of course, it also helps to put "evidence" inside an href tag, with some citation showing the moon is in fact not made of green cheese, or suchlike.

That's no joke. (#127382)
by nyoos junkey

It's a sad truth about innocence

Thanks for this laugh blaise... :) (#127334)
by Davinci

nt

--

Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your

Joe Klein has thoughts on this topic (in a larger context) (#127187)
by Bill White

I'm of two minds about how to deal with the McCain campaign's further descent into ugliness. Their strategy is simple: you throw &^%$ against a wall and then giggle as the media try to analyze the putrescence in a way that conveys a sense of balance: "Well, it is bull-pucky, but the splatter pattern is interesting..." which, of course, only serves to get your perverse message out. I really don't want to be a part of that. But...every so often, we journalists have a duty to remind readers just how dingy the McCain campaign, and its right-wing acolytes in the media (I'm looking at you, Sean Hannity) have become--especially in their efforts to divert public attention from the economic crisis we're facing. And so inept at it: other campaigns have decided that their only shot is going negative, but usually they don't announce it, as several McCain aides have in recent days--there's no way we can win on the economy, so we're going to go sludge-diving.

http://www.time-blog.com/swampland/2008/10/embarracuda.html

--

Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.

Combined With. . . (#127150)
by M Scott Eiland

. . ."i never expect a straight answer from Timmy," it's definitely borderline at best. In case the melodrama with Brooks this morning didn't make it clear, we're serious about the new policy. I'll respect Jordan's implicit judgment that this one wasn't quite over the line, but if it happens again after a warning it's going to be a week.

--

What, no Timmy exception either? (#127156)
by Spartacvs

I thought dissing Timmy's unique style of participation at the site had been grandfathered in as an exception to the normal rules?

--

GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

So we are to assume that this is a truly held position rather (#127130)
by Davinci

than spin? So maybe we should just use spin instead of dishonest.

Of course many people think spin is dishonest. This is all very confusing. When you have the law on your side argue the law. If you have the facts on your side argue the facts. If you have neither pound your fist on the table and change the subject or point to a small part and say that it what caused the problem. It does help if the opposition is the one to blame for that small part. As opposed to deregulation or lack of oversight by your own side.

--

Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your

You can do what I do. (#127145)
by Jordan

Keep asking the question until someone gives an answer.

--

Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH

But the answers never come... So you lose the good faith (#127332)
by Davinci

side of the conversational transaction... This in turn leads to less faith on both sides when in fact we really have more in common than we like to admit. Still you know this game say something and then don't defend it. Of course walking away means that you lose in most cases....

--

Ask courageous questions. Do not be satisfied with superficial answers. Be open to wonder and at the same time subject all claims to knowledge, without exception, to intense skeptical scrutiny. Be aware of human fallibility. Cherish your species and your

But I'm not walking away. (#127346)
by Jordan

I keep asking the question, and in response I get nothing but the soothing background noise of the internet. So, it's relaxing.

--

Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes. That way when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes. -JH

Does anyone (except Timmy) here at forvm.org (#127074)
by Bill White

believe the CRA has played any significant role in the current financial crisis?

--

Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.

I doubt very much that Timmy believes it either (#127124)
by Chuchundra

I've seen him post on financial topics when he wasn't engaged in right-wing bomb throwing or GOP talking point regurgitating and it's clear that he has a first class mind and a serious understanding of these issues.

--

Guard, protect and cherish your land, for there is no afterlife for a place that started out as Heaven.

Yes! (#127111)
by stillnotking

Wait, no, sorry.

--

The other day I heard that ignorance and apathy are sweeping the country. I didn't know that, but I don't really care.

Me, neither (#127082)
by Jay C

not with only one unattributed YouTube and an unlinked cite to (not) back it up. Still less any (lack of) authority for that "$1 Trillion" figure.

No (#127078)
by Gabriel

Not even conservative economists like Tyler Cowen.

--

This place is my vacation.

CRA had nothing to do with the current crisis (#127072)
by Gabriel

Fannie and Freddie had little to do with the crisis either, they were mostly the victims (yes, probably due to some bad management but more due to pressure from Congress and the WH).

The CORE reason for this crisis is the real estate bubble. Japan didn't have CRA or Fannie or Freddie but they did have a real estate bubble and it took them 10+ years to recover.

The other factor, which amplified the effect of the first, was the unregulated use of financial instruments. That's why Europe is having a crisis even if they don't have a CRA.

There's a lot of excellent conservative economists. It would be good to cite them. A great start is Feldstein's recent OpEd in the WSJ.

--

This place is my vacation.

The two FMs likely will cost taxpayers $100s of Billions (#127089)
by tomsyl

once their bailout is complete. Collectively they hold about $700 Billion in subprime and Alt-A loans. Assume a 25% default rate and what do you get? And please don't cite the CBO $25B bailout estimate unless you truly believe that number and can say why it's credible.

I don't buy the "victimhood" schtick for the two FMs one bit. At least three yearsm ago I remember reading some WSJ exposes about the FM/FM management cooking books to maximize their bonuses, which is of course criminal - see Enron, Worldcom, etc. But whistle-blowers were beaten down by the weight of Congresscrooks on the take, and inevitably the race card was played by the CBC on behalf of Raines.

Even now I don't see any indication that Raines, Gorelick and the rest of the morons running the two FMs will be called to account - do you? If their institutions were victimized by someone, don't you think they should tell their stories so we can avoid similar mistakes in the future? And is there any reason why they shouldn't be subject to the same FBI investigation that heads of private institutions supposedly are being put through?

Why were the two FMs given exemptions from Sorbanes-Oxley? Bud Siegelman and Richard Scrushy might think that's a little unfair.

While we're on the subject of politicians skating while the private sector crooks get targeted, I'd like to see the following:
-Chris Dodd removed from the Senate Banking Committee on ethical grounds for taking a $75K bribe from Countrywide.
-Obama explain the $126K he was given by the two FMs, and why James Johnson is affiliated with his campaign.
-Barney Franks' assurances that the two FMs were sound replayed each time McCain's idiotic "fundamentally sound economy" remark is reprised.
-Chuckie Wormer prosecuted for bringing down IndyMac.
-some more stuff I can't think of now.

--

Even a dead midget is far from light. - Confucius

'Management cooking books to maximize their bonuses' (#127121)
by Spartacvs

Err, isn't this the rationale that underlies most of what goes on in the upper echelons of Wall St.? the only question is how much of it can be successfully lawyered as 'legal' under the regulations in place at the time and how effectively were such regulations as did exist being enforced?

A 25% default rate? on all subprime and Alt-A loan holdings?

--

GW Bush, leading contender for worst President ever.

Never trust a CBO number. (#127104)
by Punditus Maximus

I know how they come up with them.

I do appreciate the knowledge, however, that the only persons who should be investigated or prosecuted with respect to the entire financial crisis are high-ranking Democrats.

--

It's impossible to debate if people simply hold beliefs that have no grounding in reality.

Economists are elitist -- John Cole explains (#127076)
by Bill White

Here:

In a related vein, I see that many bloggers are linking to this report of a poll of economists, who in general seem to support Obama. I will let Hilzoy give a rundown:

It’s even more striking when you look at some of the internals. The economists rated Obama’s plan to deal with the housing and economic crisis 1.1 points higher than McCain’s, on a five point scale; economists who describe themselves as not affiliated with either party rated it .6 higher. Economists as a whole rated Obama’s tax plan nearly 1.1 points higher than McCain’s; unaffiliated economists rated it nearly .7 points higher. On fiscal discipline, economists as a whole rate Obama a full point higher; unaffiliated economists rate him .55 points higher.

Predictably, Obama dominates on topics like reducing income inequality and reducing the number of people without health insurance. But he also crushes McCain on reforming financial regulations: economists as a whole rank him 1.3 points higher than McCain, while he leads among unaffiliated economists by nearly a full point (and is almost tied with McCain among Republicans.)

I love Hilzoy, but it is almost as if she doesn’t get it either. The Republicans and the McCain campaign and Bible Spice don’t care about this stuff. These are academics. Who can trust them? I doubt many of them can shotgun a six pack while lighting their farts on fire during the NASCAR race. Get back to me when you have some compelling biographical info about an economist gutting a moose while riding a snowmobile.

Then I will know you have a real American we can trust.

--

Fence post turtles -- They don't get up there by themselves, some moron had to put 'em there.

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